""" Pattern detection and buy signal generation tasks """ from datetime import datetime, timedelta import structlog from app.workers.celery_app import celery_app from app.core.config import settings logger = structlog.get_logger() @celery_app.task(name="app.workers.tasks.pattern_tasks.detect_panic_events") def detect_panic_events(): """Detect new panic events based on sentiment and price drops.""" logger.info("Starting panic event detection") # Detection criteria: # 1. Sentiment score drops below threshold # 2. Price drops significantly (>5% in 24h) # 3. News volume spikes # Placeholder - actual implementation would: # - Query recent news sentiment by stock # - Check price movements # - Create panic_events records detected_count = 0 logger.info("Panic detection complete", detected=detected_count) return {"detected": detected_count} @celery_app.task(name="app.workers.tasks.pattern_tasks.generate_buy_signals") def generate_buy_signals(): """Generate buy signals based on historical patterns.""" logger.info("Starting buy signal generation") # Signal generation criteria: # 1. Active panic event exists # 2. Similar historical events had good recovery # 3. Price is near or past typical bottom # 4. Volume indicates capitulation # Placeholder - actual implementation would: # - Find stocks with active panic events # - Match against historical patterns # - Calculate confidence scores # - Create buy_signals records signals_count = 0 logger.info("Signal generation complete", signals=signals_count) return {"generated": signals_count} @celery_app.task(name="app.workers.tasks.pattern_tasks.analyze_historical_pattern") def analyze_historical_pattern(stock_id: str, event_type: str): """Analyze historical patterns for a specific stock and event type.""" logger.info("Analyzing historical pattern", stock_id=stock_id, event_type=event_type) # Would query past panic events for this stock # Calculate statistics: # - Average/median drawdown # - Average/median recovery time # - Average/median recovery percentage # - Success rate (how often did it recover) return { "stock_id": stock_id, "event_type": event_type, "pattern": None, # Would contain pattern data } @celery_app.task(name="app.workers.tasks.pattern_tasks.calculate_confidence_score") def calculate_confidence_score( stock_id: str, current_drawdown: float, current_sentiment: float, historical_pattern: dict, ) -> float: """Calculate confidence score for a potential buy signal.""" # Factors: # 1. How close is current drawdown to historical average # 2. How negative is sentiment (capitulation indicator) # 3. Pattern reliability (sample size, consistency) # 4. Market conditions (sector performance, overall market) score = 0.5 # Base score # Adjust based on drawdown match if historical_pattern and historical_pattern.get("avg_drawdown"): avg_drawdown = historical_pattern["avg_drawdown"] drawdown_ratio = current_drawdown / avg_drawdown if 0.8 <= drawdown_ratio <= 1.2: score += 0.2 # Close to historical average # Adjust based on sentiment (more panic = higher score) if current_sentiment < settings.PANIC_THRESHOLD: panic_intensity = abs(current_sentiment - settings.PANIC_THRESHOLD) / 50 score += min(panic_intensity * 0.2, 0.2) # Adjust based on pattern reliability if historical_pattern and historical_pattern.get("event_count", 0) >= 3: score += 0.1 # Multiple historical examples return min(max(score, 0), 1) # Clamp to 0-1 @celery_app.task(name="app.workers.tasks.pattern_tasks.update_panic_event_status") def update_panic_event_status(): """Update panic events - check if they've ended/recovered.""" logger.info("Updating panic event statuses") # Check active (incomplete) panic events # Mark as complete if: # - Price has recovered to pre-panic levels # - Sentiment has normalized # - Enough time has passed updated_count = 0 logger.info("Panic status update complete", updated=updated_count) return {"updated": updated_count} @celery_app.task(name="app.workers.tasks.pattern_tasks.rebuild_patterns") def rebuild_patterns(stock_id: str = None): """Rebuild historical patterns from panic events.""" logger.info("Rebuilding patterns", stock_id=stock_id or "all") # Aggregate all completed panic events # Group by stock and event type # Calculate pattern statistics patterns_count = 0 logger.info("Pattern rebuild complete", patterns=patterns_count) return {"rebuilt": patterns_count}