docs: Major documentation reorganization + ENV variable reference

**Documentation Structure:**
- Created docs/ subdirectory organization (analysis/, architecture/, bugs/,
  cluster/, deployments/, roadmaps/, setup/, archived/)
- Moved 68 root markdown files to appropriate categories
- Root directory now clean (only README.md remains)
- Total: 83 markdown files now organized by purpose

**New Content:**
- Added comprehensive Environment Variable Reference to copilot-instructions.md
- 100+ ENV variables documented with types, defaults, purpose, notes
- Organized by category: Required (Drift/RPC/Pyth), Trading Config (quality/
  leverage/sizing), ATR System, Runner System, Risk Limits, Notifications, etc.
- Includes usage examples (correct vs wrong patterns)

**File Distribution:**
- docs/analysis/ - Performance analyses, blocked signals, profit projections
- docs/architecture/ - Adaptive leverage, ATR trailing, indicator tracking
- docs/bugs/ - CRITICAL_*.md, FIXES_*.md bug reports (7 files)
- docs/cluster/ - EPYC setup, distributed computing docs (3 files)
- docs/deployments/ - *_COMPLETE.md, DEPLOYMENT_*.md status (12 files)
- docs/roadmaps/ - All *ROADMAP*.md strategic planning files (7 files)
- docs/setup/ - TradingView guides, signal quality, n8n setup (8 files)
- docs/archived/2025_pre_nov/ - Obsolete verification checklist (1 file)

**Key Improvements:**
- ENV variable reference: Single source of truth for all configuration
- Common Pitfalls #68-71: Already complete, verified during audit
- Better findability: Category-based navigation vs 68 files in root
- Preserves history: All files git mv (rename), not copy/delete
- Zero broken functionality: Only documentation moved, no code changes

**Verification:**
- 83 markdown files now in docs/ subdirectories
- Root directory cleaned: 68 files → 0 files (except README.md)
- Git history preserved for all moved files
- Container running: trading-bot-v4 (no restart needed)

**Next Steps:**
- Create README.md files in each docs subdirectory
- Add navigation index
- Update main README.md with new structure
- Consolidate duplicate deployment docs
- Archive truly obsolete files (old SQL backups)

See: docs/analysis/CLEANUP_PLAN.md for complete reorganization strategy
This commit is contained in:
mindesbunister
2025-12-04 08:29:59 +01:00
parent e48332e347
commit 4c36fa2bc3
61 changed files with 520 additions and 37 deletions

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# ATR-Based Trailing Stop Fix - Nov 11, 2025
## Problem Identified
**Critical Bug:** Runner system was using FIXED 0.3% trailing stop, causing profitable runners to exit immediately.
**Evidence:**
- Recent trades showing MFE of +7-9% but exiting for losses or minimal gains
- Example: Entry $167.82, MFE +7.01%, exit $168.91 for **-$2.68 loss**
- At $168 SOL price: 0.3% = only **$0.50 wiggle room** before stop hits
- Normal price volatility easily triggers 0.3% retracement
**Documentation Claim vs Reality:**
- Docs claimed "ATR-based trailing stop"
- Code was using `this.config.trailingStopPercent` (fixed 0.3%)
- Config already had `trailingStopAtrMultiplier` parameter but it wasn't being used!
## Solution Implemented
### 1. Position Manager Update (`lib/trading/position-manager.ts`)
**Changed trailing stop calculation from fixed to ATR-based:**
```typescript
// OLD (BROKEN):
const trailingStopPrice = this.calculatePrice(
trade.peakPrice,
-this.config.trailingStopPercent, // Fixed 0.3%
trade.direction
)
// NEW (FIXED):
if (trade.atrAtEntry && trade.atrAtEntry > 0) {
// ATR-based: Use ATR% * multiplier
const atrPercent = (trade.atrAtEntry / currentPrice) * 100
const rawDistance = atrPercent * this.config.trailingStopAtrMultiplier
// Clamp between min and max
trailingDistancePercent = Math.max(
this.config.trailingStopMinPercent,
Math.min(this.config.trailingStopMaxPercent, rawDistance)
)
} else {
// Fallback to configured percent with clamping
trailingDistancePercent = Math.max(
this.config.trailingStopMinPercent,
Math.min(this.config.trailingStopMaxPercent, this.config.trailingStopPercent)
)
}
```
### 2. Added `atrAtEntry` to ActiveTrade Interface
```typescript
export interface ActiveTrade {
// Entry details
entryPrice: number
entryTime: number
positionSize: number
leverage: number
atrAtEntry?: number // NEW: ATR value at entry for ATR-based trailing stop
// ...
}
```
### 3. Settings UI Updates (`app/settings/page.tsx`)
Added new fields for ATR trailing configuration:
- **ATR Trailing Multiplier** (1.0-3.0x, default 1.5x)
- **Min Trailing Distance** (0.1-1.0%, default 0.25%)
- **Max Trailing Distance** (0.5-2.0%, default 0.9%)
- Changed "Trailing Stop Distance" label to "[FALLBACK]"
### 4. Environment Variables (`.env.example`)
```bash
# ATR-based Trailing Stop (for 25% runner after TP2)
# Trailing distance = (ATR × multiplier)
# Example: 0.5% ATR × 1.5 = 0.75% trailing (more room than fixed 0.3%)
TRAILING_STOP_ATR_MULTIPLIER=1.5
TRAILING_STOP_MIN_PERCENT=0.25
TRAILING_STOP_MAX_PERCENT=0.9
TRAILING_STOP_ACTIVATION=0.5
```
## Expected Impact
### Before Fix (0.3% Fixed)
- SOL at $168: 0.3% = $0.50 wiggle room
- Normal 2-minute oscillation kills runner immediately
- Runners with +7-9% MFE captured minimal profit or even lost money
### After Fix (ATR-based)
**Recent ATR distribution from database:**
```sql
-- Most common ATR values: 0.25-0.52%
-- At 1.5x multiplier:
0.25% ATR × 1.5 = 0.375% trail
0.37% ATR × 1.5 = 0.555% trail
0.45% ATR × 1.5 = 0.675% trail
0.52% ATR × 1.5 = 0.780% trail
```
**Typical improvement:**
- Old: $0.50 wiggle room ($168 × 0.3%)
- New: $1.12 wiggle room ($168 × 0.67% avg)
- **2.24x more room for runner to breathe!**
**Volatility adaptation:**
- Low ATR (0.25%): 0.375% trail = $0.63 @ $168
- High ATR (0.72%): 0.9% trail cap = $1.51 @ $168 (max cap)
- Automatically adjusts to market conditions
## Verification Logs
When runner activates, you'll now see:
```
🎯 Trailing stop activated at +0.65%
📊 ATR-based trailing: 0.0045 (0.52%) × 1.5x = 0.78%
📈 Trailing SL updated: 168.50 → 167.20 (0.78% below peak $168.91)
```
Instead of:
```
⚠️ No ATR data, using fallback: 0.30%
📈 Trailing SL updated: 168.50 → 168.41 (0.30% below peak $168.91)
```
## Testing
1. **Existing open trades:** Will use fallback 0.3% (no atrAtEntry yet)
2. **New trades:** Will capture ATR at entry and use ATR-based trailing
3. **Settings UI:** Update multiplier at http://localhost:3001/settings
4. **Log verification:** Check for "📊 ATR-based trailing" messages
## Files Modified
1.`lib/trading/position-manager.ts` - ATR-based trailing calculation + interface
2.`app/settings/page.tsx` - UI for ATR multiplier controls
3.`.env.example` - Documentation for new variables
4.`config/trading.ts` - Already had the config (wasn't being used!)
## Deployment
```bash
docker compose build trading-bot
docker compose up -d --force-recreate trading-bot
docker logs -f trading-bot-v4
```
**Status:****DEPLOYED AND RUNNING**
## Next Steps
1. **Monitor next runner:** Watch for "📊 ATR-based trailing" in logs
2. **Compare MFE vs realized P&L:** Should capture 50%+ of MFE (vs current 5-10%)
3. **Adjust multiplier if needed:** May increase to 2.0x after seeing results
4. **Update copilot-instructions.md:** Document this fix after validation
## Related Issues
- Fixes the morning's missed opportunity: $172→$162 drop would have been captured
- Addresses "trades showing +7% MFE but -$2 loss" pattern
- Makes the 25% runner system actually useful (vs broken 5% system)
## Key Insight
**The config system was already built for this!** The `trailingStopAtrMultiplier` parameter existed in DEFAULT_TRADING_CONFIG and getConfigFromEnv() since the TP2-as-runner redesign. The Position Manager just wasn't using it. This was a "90% done but not wired up" situation.