diff --git a/.github/copilot-instructions.md b/.github/copilot-instructions.md index ad04684..e62233d 100644 --- a/.github/copilot-instructions.md +++ b/.github/copilot-instructions.md @@ -5,14 +5,14 @@ **Primary Objective:** Build wealth systematically from $106 → $100,000+ through algorithmic trading **Current Phase:** Phase 1 - Survival & Proof (Nov 2025 - Jan 2026) -- **Current Capital:** $97.55 USDC (zero debt, 100% health) -- **Starting Capital:** $106 (Nov 2025) -- **Target:** $2,500 by end of Phase 1 (Month 2.5) -- **Strategy:** Aggressive compounding, 0 withdrawals -- **Position Sizing:** 100% of free collateral (~$97 at 15x leverage = ~$1,463 notional) -- **Risk Tolerance:** EXTREME - This is recovery/proof-of-concept mode -- **Win Target:** 20-30% monthly returns to reach $2,500 -- **Trades Executed:** 161 (as of Nov 12, 2025) +- **Current Capital:** $540 USDC (zero debt, 100% health) +- **Starting Capital:** $106 (Nov 11, 2025) + $440 deposits +- **Target:** $2,500 by end of Phase 1 (Month 2.5) - 4.6x growth from current +- **Strategy:** Aggressive compounding, 0 withdrawals, data-driven optimization +- **Position Sizing:** 100% of free collateral (~$540 at 15x leverage = ~$8,100 notional) +- **Risk Tolerance:** HIGH - Proof-of-concept mode with increased capital cushion +- **Win Target:** 15-20% monthly returns to reach $2,500 (more achievable with larger base) +- **Trades Executed:** 170+ (as of Nov 19, 2025) **Why This Matters for AI Agents:** - Every dollar counts at this stage - optimize for profitability, not just safety @@ -504,11 +504,13 @@ After sufficient data collected: - **API accessible:** Check status anytime via `/api/analytics/signal-tracking` **Current Status (Nov 19, 2025):** -- ✅ System deployed and running -- ✅ 2 signals tracked (15min and 1H from earlier today) +- ✅ System deployed and running in production +- ✅ 2 signals tracked (15min and 1H collecting price data) - ✅ TradingView alerts configured for 15min and 1H -- 📋 Pending: Set up 4H and Daily alerts -- 📊 Target: Collect 50+ signals per timeframe for statistical analysis +- ✅ Background tracker runs every 5 minutes autonomously +- 📋 Next: Set up 4H and Daily alerts +- 📊 Target: Collect 50+ signals per timeframe for cross-timeframe comparison +- 🎯 Goal: Determine which timeframe has best win rate, switch production accordingly --- diff --git a/TRADING_GOALS.md b/TRADING_GOALS.md index 3b209b4..9d5e1eb 100644 --- a/TRADING_GOALS.md +++ b/TRADING_GOALS.md @@ -1,8 +1,8 @@ # Trading Goals & Financial Roadmap -**Bot:** Trading Bot v4 (Drift Protocol + TradingView v6 Signals) +**Bot:** Trading Bot v4 (Drift Protocol + TradingView v8 Signals) **Start Date:** November 11, 2025 -**Starting Capital:** $106 (+ $1,000 deposit in 2 weeks) +**Starting Capital:** $106 (Initial) → $540 (Current with deposits) **Primary Objective:** Systematic wealth building through algorithmic trading --- @@ -21,15 +21,15 @@ ### **Phase 1: Survival & Proof (Months 0-2.5)** **Capital:** $106 → $2,500 -**Strategy:** YOLO recovery, then aggressive compounding +**Strategy:** Aggressive compounding with data-driven optimization **Withdrawals:** $0 (reinvest everything) **Position Sizing:** 100% → 20-25% of account **Leverage:** 20x → 15x **Milestones:** -- ✅ Week 0: $106 starting capital -- ⏳ Week 2: +$1,000 deposit → $1,100-1,300 base -- 🎯 Month 2.5: $2,500 account (20x growth on initial, 2x on deposited) +- ✅ Week 0: $106 starting capital (Nov 11, 2025) +- ✅ Week 1: +$440 deposits → $540 current capital (Nov 19, 2025) +- 🎯 Month 2.5: $2,500 account (4.6x growth from current, 23x from initial) **Success Criteria:** - v6 signals prove profitable (60%+ win rate) @@ -210,21 +210,23 @@ ## 🎯 Current Status -**Date:** November 11, 2025 +**Date:** November 19, 2025 **Phase:** 1 (Survival & Proof) -**Account:** $106 -**Next Milestone:** $1,000 deposit (2 weeks) -**Days Until First Withdrawal:** ~75 days (Month 3) +**Account:** $540 USDC (100% health, zero debt) +**Next Milestone:** $1,000 account (1.85x from current) +**Days Until First Withdrawal:** ~60 days (Month 3 - Early January 2026) **Recent Improvements:** -- ✅ v6 Pine Script deployed (100-bar price position filtering) -- ✅ ATR-based trailing stop implemented (captures runners properly) -- ✅ 70/30 TP1/Runner split (increased runner size from 25% to 30%) -- ✅ Rate limit monitoring (prevents silent failures) -- ✅ Signal quality scoring (blocks weak setups) +- ✅ v8 Money Line Sticky Trend deployed (0.6% flip threshold, anti-whipsaw) +- ✅ ATR-based TP/SL system (adaptive to volatility, regime-agnostic) +- ✅ ADX-based runner positioning (trend-strength adaptive SL) +- ✅ Multi-timeframe price tracking (15min/1H/4H/Daily data collection) +- ✅ Quality score increase to 81 (filters small chop trades) +- ✅ 60/40 TP1/Runner split (captures runners on strong trends) +- ✅ Automated MFE/MAE analysis (30-minute tracking per signal) -**System Readiness:** 🟢 READY -**Confidence Level:** 🔥 HIGH (infrastructure is solid, just needs signals) +**System Readiness:** 🟢 PRODUCTION +**Confidence Level:** 🔥 VERY HIGH (v8 tested, multi-timeframe data collection active, capital growing) ---