feat: Implement adaptive leverage based on signal quality score

- Quality-based risk adjustment: 95+ = 15x, 90-94 = 10x, <90 = blocked
- Data-driven decision: v8 quality 95+ = 100% WR (4/4 wins)
- Config fields: useAdaptiveLeverage, highQualityLeverage, lowQualityLeverage, qualityLeverageThreshold
- Helper function: getLeverageForQualityScore() returns appropriate leverage tier
- Position sizing: Modified getActualPositionSizeForSymbol() to accept optional qualityScore param
- Execute endpoint: Calculate quality score early (before sizing) for leverage determination
- Test endpoint: Uses quality 100 for maximum leverage on manual test trades
- ENV variables: USE_ADAPTIVE_LEVERAGE, HIGH_QUALITY_LEVERAGE, LOW_QUALITY_LEVERAGE, QUALITY_LEVERAGE_THRESHOLD
- Impact: 33% less exposure on borderline quality signals (90-94)
- Example: $540 × 10x = $5,400 vs $8,100 (saves $2,700 exposure on volatile signals)
- Files changed:
  * config/trading.ts (interface, config, ENV, helper function, position sizing)
  * app/api/trading/execute/route.ts (early quality calculation, pass to sizing)
  * app/api/trading/test/route.ts (quality 100 for test trades)

app/api/trading/execute/route.ts

@@ -167,12 +167,28 @@ export async function POST(request: NextRequest): Promise<NextResponse<ExecuteTr
     const health = await driftService.getAccountHealth()
     console.log(`🩺 Account health: Free collateral $${health.freeCollateral.toFixed(2)}`)
     
-    // Get symbol-specific position sizing (supports percentage-based sizing)
+    // Calculate quality score EARLY for adaptive leverage (Nov 24, 2025)
+    // This needs to happen before position sizing so leverage can be adjusted based on quality
+    const qualityResult = await scoreSignalQuality({
+      atr: body.atr || 0,
+      adx: body.adx || 0,
+      rsi: body.rsi || 0,
+      volumeRatio: body.volumeRatio || 0,
+      pricePosition: body.pricePosition || 0,
+      direction: body.direction,
+      symbol: driftSymbol,
+      currentPrice: body.signalPrice || 0,
+      timeframe: body.timeframe,
+    })
+    console.log(`📊 Signal quality score: ${qualityResult.score} (calculated early for adaptive leverage)`)
+    
+    // Get symbol-specific position sizing with quality score for adaptive leverage
     const { getActualPositionSizeForSymbol } = await import('@/config/trading')
     const { size: positionSize, leverage, enabled, usePercentage } = await getActualPositionSizeForSymbol(
       driftSymbol,
       config,
-      health.freeCollateral
+      health.freeCollateral,
+      qualityResult.score // Pass quality score for adaptive leverage
     )
     
     // Check if trading is enabled for this symbol
@@ -748,23 +764,9 @@ export async function POST(request: NextRequest): Promise<NextResponse<ExecuteTr
     console.log('🔍 DEBUG: Exit orders section complete, about to calculate quality score...')
 
     // Save trade to database FIRST (CRITICAL: Must succeed before Position Manager)
-    let qualityResult
     try {
-      // Calculate quality score if metrics available
+      // Quality score already calculated earlier for adaptive leverage
-      console.log('🔍 DEBUG: Calling scoreSignalQuality()...')
+      console.log('🔍 DEBUG: Using quality score from earlier calculation:', qualityResult.score)
-      qualityResult = await scoreSignalQuality({
-        atr: body.atr || 0,
-        adx: body.adx || 0,
-        rsi: body.rsi || 0,
-        volumeRatio: body.volumeRatio || 0,
-        pricePosition: body.pricePosition || 0,
-        direction: body.direction,
-        symbol: driftSymbol,
-        currentPrice: openResult.fillPrice,
-        timeframe: body.timeframe,
-      })
-      
-      console.log('🔍 DEBUG: scoreSignalQuality() completed, score:', qualityResult.score)
       console.log('🔍 DEBUG: About to call createTrade()...')
       
       await createTrade({

app/api/trading/test/route.ts

@@ -74,11 +74,13 @@ export async function POST(request: NextRequest): Promise<NextResponse<TestTrade
     }
     
     // Get symbol-specific position sizing (with percentage support)
+    // Test trades use quality score 100 for maximum leverage (manual override)
     const { getActualPositionSizeForSymbol } = await import('@/config/trading')
     const { size: positionSize, leverage, enabled, usePercentage } = await getActualPositionSizeForSymbol(
       driftSymbol, 
       config, 
-      health.freeCollateral
+      health.freeCollateral,
+      100 // Test trades always use max leverage (quality 100)
     )
     
     // Check if trading is enabled for this symbol

config/trading.ts

@@ -14,9 +14,15 @@ export interface SymbolSettings {
 export interface TradingConfig {
   // Position sizing (global fallback)
   positionSize: number // USD amount to trade (or percentage if usePercentageSize=true)
-  leverage: number // Leverage multiplier
+  leverage: number // Leverage multiplier (LEGACY - used when adaptive disabled)
   usePercentageSize: boolean // If true, positionSize is % of free collateral
   
+  // Adaptive Leverage (Quality-based risk adjustment - Nov 24, 2025)
+  useAdaptiveLeverage: boolean // Enable quality-based leverage tiers
+  highQualityLeverage: number // Leverage for signals >= threshold (e.g., 15 for quality 95+)
+  lowQualityLeverage: number // Leverage for signals < threshold (e.g., 10 for quality 90-94)
+  qualityLeverageThreshold: number // Quality score threshold (e.g., 95)
+  
   // Per-symbol settings
   solana?: SymbolSettings
   ethereum?: SymbolSettings
@@ -104,9 +110,16 @@ export interface MarketConfig {
 export const DEFAULT_TRADING_CONFIG: TradingConfig = {
   // Position sizing (global fallback)
   positionSize: 50, // $50 base capital (SAFE FOR TESTING) OR percentage if usePercentageSize=true
-  leverage: 10, // 10x leverage = $500 position size
+  leverage: 10, // 10x leverage = $500 position size (LEGACY - used when adaptive disabled)
   usePercentageSize: false, // False = fixed USD, True = percentage of portfolio
   
+  // Adaptive Leverage (Quality-based risk adjustment - Nov 24, 2025)
+  // Data-driven: v8 quality 95+ = 100% WR (4/4 wins), quality 90-94 more volatile
+  useAdaptiveLeverage: true, // Enable quality-based leverage tiers
+  highQualityLeverage: 15, // For signals >= 95 quality (high confidence)
+  lowQualityLeverage: 10, // For signals 90-94 quality (reduced risk)
+  qualityLeverageThreshold: 95, // Threshold for high vs low leverage
+  
   // Per-symbol settings
   solana: {
     enabled: true,
@@ -308,12 +321,14 @@ export function calculateActualPositionSize(
 
 /**
  * Get actual position size for symbol with percentage support
+ * Now supports adaptive leverage based on quality score (Nov 24, 2025)
  * This is the main function to use when opening positions
  */
 export async function getActualPositionSizeForSymbol(
   symbol: string,
   baseConfig: TradingConfig,
-  freeCollateral: number
+  freeCollateral: number,
+  qualityScore?: number // NEW: Optional quality score for adaptive leverage
 ): Promise<{ size: number; leverage: number; enabled: boolean; usePercentage: boolean }> {
   let symbolSettings: { size: number; leverage: number; enabled: boolean }
   let usePercentage = false
@@ -351,9 +366,16 @@ export async function getActualPositionSizeForSymbol(
     freeCollateral
   )
   
+  // NEW (Nov 24, 2025): Apply adaptive leverage based on quality score
+  let finalLeverage = symbolSettings.leverage
+  if (qualityScore !== undefined && baseConfig.useAdaptiveLeverage) {
+    finalLeverage = getLeverageForQualityScore(qualityScore, baseConfig)
+    console.log(`📊 Adaptive leverage: Quality ${qualityScore} → ${finalLeverage}x leverage (threshold: ${baseConfig.qualityLeverageThreshold})`)
+  }
+  
   return {
     size: actualSize,
-    leverage: symbolSettings.leverage,
+    leverage: finalLeverage, // Use adaptive leverage if quality score provided
     enabled: symbolSettings.enabled,
     usePercentage,
   }
@@ -468,6 +490,21 @@ export function getConfigFromEnv(): Partial<TradingConfig> {
     leverage: process.env.LEVERAGE 
       ? parseInt(process.env.LEVERAGE) 
       : undefined,
+    
+    // Adaptive Leverage (Quality-based risk adjustment - Nov 24, 2025)
+    useAdaptiveLeverage: process.env.USE_ADAPTIVE_LEVERAGE
+      ? process.env.USE_ADAPTIVE_LEVERAGE === 'true'
+      : undefined,
+    highQualityLeverage: process.env.HIGH_QUALITY_LEVERAGE
+      ? parseInt(process.env.HIGH_QUALITY_LEVERAGE)
+      : undefined,
+    lowQualityLeverage: process.env.LOW_QUALITY_LEVERAGE
+      ? parseInt(process.env.LOW_QUALITY_LEVERAGE)
+      : undefined,
+    qualityLeverageThreshold: process.env.QUALITY_LEVERAGE_THRESHOLD
+      ? parseInt(process.env.QUALITY_LEVERAGE_THRESHOLD)
+      : undefined,
+    
     stopLossPercent: process.env.STOP_LOSS_PERCENT 
       ? parseFloat(process.env.STOP_LOSS_PERCENT) 
       : undefined,
@@ -613,6 +650,26 @@ export function getMinQualityScoreForDirection(
   return config.minSignalQualityScore
 }
 
+// Get leverage based on signal quality score (Nov 24, 2025)
+// Data-driven: v8 quality 95+ = 100% WR (4/4 wins), quality 90-94 more volatile
+export function getLeverageForQualityScore(
+  qualityScore: number,
+  config: TradingConfig
+): number {
+  // If adaptive leverage disabled, use fixed leverage
+  if (!config.useAdaptiveLeverage) {
+    return config.leverage
+  }
+  
+  // High quality signals get maximum leverage
+  if (qualityScore >= config.qualityLeverageThreshold) {
+    return config.highQualityLeverage
+  }
+  
+  // Lower quality signals get reduced leverage
+  return config.lowQualityLeverage
+}
+
 // Merge configurations
 export function getMergedConfig(
   overrides?: Partial<TradingConfig>