diff --git a/SMART_ENTRY_DEPLOYMENT_STATUS.md b/SMART_ENTRY_DEPLOYMENT_STATUS.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..ca00d1d --- /dev/null +++ b/SMART_ENTRY_DEPLOYMENT_STATUS.md @@ -0,0 +1,240 @@ +# Smart Entry Timing - Deployment Status + +**Status:** ✅ **DEPLOYED AND ACTIVE IN PRODUCTION** + +**Deployment Date:** November 27, 2025 + +--- + +## Current State + +### Feature Configuration +- **SMART_ENTRY_ENABLED:** `true` (ACTIVE) +- **MAX_WAIT_MS:** 120000 (2 minutes) +- **PULLBACK_MIN:** 0.15% (minimum favorable move) +- **PULLBACK_MAX:** 0.50% (maximum before reversal risk) +- **ADX_TOLERANCE:** 2 points (trend strength validation) + +### Container Status +- **Container:** `trading-bot-v4` running successfully +- **Build completed:** 74 seconds (all dependencies fresh) +- **Configuration loaded:** Verified in `/app/.env` +- **Lazy initialization:** Will activate on first signal arrival + +### Expected Behavior + +**When signal arrives:** +1. Execute endpoint checks if Smart Entry is enabled (✅ true) +2. Gets current price and compares to signal price +3. **If already at favorable pullback (0.15-0.5%):** + - Executes trade immediately + - Logs: `✅ Smart Entry: Already at favorable level` +4. **If not at favorable pullback yet:** + - Queues signal for monitoring + - Logs: `⏳ Smart Entry: Queuing signal for optimal entry timing` + - Returns HTTP 200 to n8n (workflow continues) + - Monitors every 15 seconds for up to 2 minutes + +**First signal will show initialization:** +``` +💡 Smart Entry Timer initialized: { + enabled: true, + maxWait: '120s', + pullback: '0.15-0.5%', + adxTolerance: '2 points' +} +``` + +--- + +## Monitoring Commands + +### Watch for Smart Entry activation +```bash +docker logs -f trading-bot-v4 | grep "Smart Entry" +``` + +### Check initialization on first signal +```bash +docker logs trading-bot-v4 | grep "Smart Entry Timer initialized" +``` + +### Verify queued signals +```bash +# API endpoint to check queue status (future enhancement) +curl http://localhost:3001/api/trading/smart-entry/status +``` + +--- + +## Expected Log Sequence + +### Scenario 1: Already at favorable price +``` +🎯 Smart Entry: Evaluating entry timing... + Signal Price: $142.50 + Current Price: $142.29 (-0.15%) +✅ Smart Entry: Already at favorable level (0.15% pullback) + Executing immediately - no need to wait +``` + +### Scenario 2: Need to wait for pullback (LONG example) +``` +🎯 Smart Entry: Evaluating entry timing... + Signal Price: $142.50 + Current Price: $142.48 (-0.01%) +⏳ Smart Entry: Queuing signal for optimal entry timing + Waiting for dip of 0.15-0.5% + +💡 Smart Entry Timer initialized: {enabled: true, maxWait: '120s', pullback: '0.15-0.5%', adxTolerance: '2 points'} +📥 Smart Entry: Queued signal SOL-PERP LONG at $142.50 + Target pullback: 0.15-0.5% (watchin for dip to $142.29-$141.79) + Expires in: 120s + +🔍 Smart Entry: Checking 1 queued signals... (15s later) + SOL-PERP LONG: Current $142.30 (-0.14%) vs target -0.15% | ADX: 26.0 vs 28.0 (signal) + +✅ Smart Entry: Pullback confirmed! SOL-PERP LONG at $142.28 (-0.15%) + Entry improved by: 0.15% ($22 on position) + Wait time: 23 seconds, Checks performed: 2 +``` + +### Scenario 3: Timeout before favorable entry +``` +🔍 Smart Entry: Checking 1 queued signals... +⏰ Smart Entry: Timeout reached for SOL-PERP LONG (waited 120s) + Executing at current price: $142.55 (+0.04%) + Entry timing: Not optimal but within acceptable range +``` + +### Scenario 4: ADX cancellation +``` +🔍 Smart Entry: Checking 1 queued signals... +❌ Smart Entry: ADX dropped too much for SOL-PERP LONG + Signal ADX: 28.0, Current ADX: 25.5 (dropped 2.5 points > 2.0 tolerance) + Cancelling signal - trend weakening +``` + +--- + +## Database Tracking + +All trades will include Smart Entry metadata in `configSnapshot`: + +```json +{ + "smartEntry": { + "used": true, + "improvement": 0.15, + "waitTime": 23, + "reason": "pullback_confirmed", + "checksPerformed": 2 + } +} +``` + +**Performance Analysis Query:** +```sql +SELECT + COUNT(*) as total_trades, + COUNT(CASE WHEN (configSnapshot::jsonb->'smartEntry'->>'used')::boolean THEN 1 END) as smart_entry_used, + AVG((configSnapshot::jsonb->'smartEntry'->>'improvement')::float) as avg_improvement, + AVG((configSnapshot::jsonb->'smartEntry'->>'waitTime')::float) as avg_wait_time +FROM "Trade" +WHERE "createdAt" > NOW() - INTERVAL '7 days' + AND configSnapshot::jsonb ? 'smartEntry'; +``` + +--- + +## Financial Impact Projection + +**Expected Entry Improvement:** 0.2-0.5% per trade + +**On $8,000 average position:** +- 0.2% improvement = $16 per trade +- 0.5% improvement = $40 per trade +- **Conservative estimate: $20-30 per trade average** + +**Over 100 trades:** +- Conservative: $2,000 improvement +- Expected: $3,000 improvement +- Best case: $4,000 improvement + +**Current capital ($540) → Goal ($100,000):** +- Every $1,000 improvement = 1.85× capital gain +- $3,000 improvement = 5.55× capital gain (from entry timing alone) +- Compounds with existing 57.1% win rate and TP2-as-runner system + +--- + +## Validation Checklist + +### After First Signal +- [ ] Initialization log appears: `💡 Smart Entry Timer initialized` +- [ ] Config shows enabled: true +- [ ] Either immediate execution OR queued with monitoring + +### After First Queued Signal +- [ ] Monitoring logs every 15 seconds: `🔍 Smart Entry: Checking N queued signals...` +- [ ] Pullback detection working (shows current price vs target) +- [ ] ADX validation running (shows current vs signal ADX) +- [ ] Execution occurs on favorable pullback OR timeout + +### After 5-10 Trades +- [ ] Database `configSnapshot` includes `smartEntry` metadata +- [ ] Improvement percentages recorded correctly +- [ ] Wait times reasonable (mostly <60 seconds or timeouts) +- [ ] No errors or crashes from Smart Entry logic + +### After 50-100 Trades +- [ ] Run performance analysis SQL query +- [ ] Compare smart entry vs immediate entry (control group) +- [ ] Validate 0.2-0.5% improvement hypothesis +- [ ] Measure impact on win rate and profit factor + +--- + +## Troubleshooting + +### If no initialization log on first signal +1. Check if signal passed quality score threshold (90+ for LONG, 95+ for SHORT) +2. Verify signal included `signalPrice` field +3. Check execute endpoint logs for Smart Entry evaluation +4. Confirm `SMART_ENTRY_ENABLED=true` in `/app/.env` inside container + +### If signals not queuing when expected +1. Verify current price is NOT already at favorable pullback +2. Check log: `✅ Smart Entry: Already at favorable level` = immediate execution (correct) +3. Ensure pullback direction matches trade direction (LONG=dip, SHORT=bounce) + +### If queued signals never execute +1. Check monitoring interval is running: `🔍 Smart Entry: Checking N queued signals...` +2. Verify ADX not dropping too much (>2 points = cancellation) +3. Ensure timeout (120s) eventually triggers execution +4. Check Position Manager not interfering with queued signals + +--- + +## Next Steps + +1. **Monitor first signal arrival** (watch logs for initialization) +2. **Validate queuing behavior** on first unfavorable entry price +3. **Collect 5-10 test trades** to verify system stability +4. **Analyze entry improvements** after 20-30 trades +5. **Full performance review** after 50-100 trades +6. **Configuration tuning** if needed (pullback range, wait time, ADX tolerance) + +--- + +## Git Commits + +- **a8c1b2c** - Implementation (smart-entry-timer.ts + integration) +- **a98ddad** - Documentation (SMART_ENTRY_TIMING_STATUS.md) +- **cf6bdac** - Deployment (SMART_ENTRY_ENABLED=true + rebuild) + +--- + +**Status:** Ready for production trading. Feature will activate on next signal arrival. + +**Expected value:** $2,000-4,000 improvement over 100 trades from better entry timing alone.