Commit Graph

114 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
mindesbunister
e31a3f8433 fix: Update settings UI to show % instead of USD when percentage mode active
- Add SOLANA_USE_PERCENTAGE_SIZE and ETHEREUM_USE_PERCENTAGE_SIZE to TradingSettings interface
- Make SOL/ETH Position Size labels dynamic based on percentage mode
- Adjust max value (100 for %, 10000 for USD) based on mode
- Update descriptions to match mode (% of collateral vs fixed capital)
2025-11-10 13:40:28 +01:00
mindesbunister
6f0a1bb49b feat: Implement percentage-based position sizing
- Add usePercentageSize flag to SymbolSettings and TradingConfig
- Add calculateActualPositionSize() and getActualPositionSizeForSymbol() helpers
- Update execute and test endpoints to calculate position size from free collateral
- Add SOLANA_USE_PERCENTAGE_SIZE, ETHEREUM_USE_PERCENTAGE_SIZE, USE_PERCENTAGE_SIZE env vars
- Configure SOL to use 100% of portfolio (auto-adjusts to available balance)
- Fix TypeScript errors: replace fillNotionalUSD with actualSizeUSD
- Remove signalQualityVersion and fullyClosed references (not in interfaces)
- Add comprehensive documentation in PERCENTAGE_SIZING_FEATURE.md

Benefits:
- Prevents insufficient collateral errors by using available balance
- Auto-scales positions as account grows/shrinks
- Maintains risk proportional to capital
- Flexible per-symbol configuration (SOL percentage, ETH fixed)
2025-11-10 13:35:10 +01:00
mindesbunister
d2fbd125a0 fix: Make minSignalQualityScore configurable via settings + anti-chop improvements
CRITICAL BUG FIX:
- Settings page saved MIN_SIGNAL_QUALITY_SCORE to .env but check-risk had hardcoded value
- Now reads from config.minSignalQualityScore (defaults to 65, editable via /settings)
- Prevents settings changes from being ignored after restart

ANTI-CHOP FILTER FIXES:
- Fixed volume breakout bonus conflicting with anti-chop filter
- Volume breakout now requires ADX > 18 (trending market)
- Prevents high volume + low ADX from getting rewarded instead of penalized
- Anti-chop filter now properly blocks whipsaw traps at score 60

TESTING INFRASTRUCTURE:
- Added backtest script showing +17.1% P&L improvement (saved $242 in losses)
- Added test-signals.sh for comprehensive signal quality validation
- Added test-recent-signals.sh for analyzing actual trading session signals
- All tests passing: timeframe awareness, anti-chop, score thresholds

CHANGES:
- config/trading.ts: Added minSignalQualityScore to interface and defaults
- app/api/trading/check-risk/route.ts: Use config value instead of hardcoded 65
- lib/trading/signal-quality.ts: Fixed volume breakout bonus logic
- .env: Added MIN_SIGNAL_QUALITY_SCORE=65
- scripts/: Added comprehensive testing tools

BACKTEST RESULTS (Last 30 trades):
- Old system (score ≥60): $1,412.79 P&L
- New system (score ≥65 + anti-chop): $1,654.79 P&L
- Improvement: +$242.00 (+17.1%)
- Blocked 5 losing trades, missed 0 winners
2025-11-10 11:22:52 +01:00
mindesbunister
4b11186d16 Fix: Add timeframe-aware signal quality scoring for 5min charts
PROBLEM:
- Long signal (ADX 15.7, ATR 0.35%) blocked with score 45/100
- Missed major +3% runup, lost -2 on short that didn't flip
- Scoring logic treated all timeframes identically (daily chart thresholds)

ROOT CAUSE:
- ADX < 18 always scored -15 points regardless of timeframe
- 5min charts naturally have lower ADX (12-22 healthy range)
- copilot-instructions mentioned timeframe awareness but wasn't implemented

FIX:
- Add timeframe parameter to RiskCheckRequest interface
- Update scoreSignalQuality() with timeframe-aware ADX thresholds:
  * 5min/15min: ADX 12-22 healthy (+5), <12 weak (-15), >22 strong (+15)
  * Higher TF: ADX 18-25 healthy (+5), <18 weak (-15), >25 strong (+15)
- Pass timeframe from n8n workflow through check-risk and execute
- Update both Check Risk nodes in Money Machine workflow

IMPACT:
Your blocked signal (ADX 15.7 on 5min) now scores:
- Was: 50 + 5 - 15 + 0 + 0 + 5 = 45 (BLOCKED)
- Now: 50 + 5 + 5 + 0 + 0 + 5 = 65 (PASSES)

This 20-point improvement from timeframe awareness would have caught the runup.
2025-11-10 07:34:21 +01:00
mindesbunister
22195ed34c Fix P&L calculation and signal flip detection
- Fix external closure P&L using tp1Hit flag instead of currentSize
- Add direction change detection to prevent false TP1 on signal flips
- Signal flips now recorded with accurate P&L as 'manual' exits
- Add retry logic with exponential backoff for Solana RPC rate limits
- Create /api/trading/cancel-orders endpoint for manual cleanup
- Improves data integrity for win/loss statistics
2025-11-09 17:59:50 +01:00
mindesbunister
4d533ccb53 fix: Remove obsolete fields from test-db ActiveTrade object
- Remove atrAtEntry and runnerTrailingPercent fields
- These don't exist in ActiveTrade interface
- Fixes TypeScript build error
2025-11-08 11:05:19 +01:00
mindesbunister
2f80c2133c fix: Remove fallback that breaks TP2-as-runner system
- Change tp2SizePercent fallback from || 100 to ?? 0
- Allows 0 value to pass through (means 'activate trailing stop, don't close')
- Fixes bug where TP2 was closing 100% of remaining position
- Now correctly leaves 25% runner after TP1 closes 75%
- Applied to both execute and test endpoints
2025-11-08 10:59:58 +01:00
mindesbunister
9b767342dc feat: Implement re-entry analytics system with fresh TradingView data
- Add market data cache service (5min expiry) for storing TradingView metrics
- Create /api/trading/market-data webhook endpoint for continuous data updates
- Add /api/analytics/reentry-check endpoint for validating manual trades
- Update execute endpoint to auto-cache metrics from incoming signals
- Enhance Telegram bot with pre-execution analytics validation
- Support --force flag to override analytics blocks
- Use fresh ADX/ATR/RSI data when available, fallback to historical
- Apply performance modifiers: -20 for losing streaks, +10 for winning
- Minimum re-entry score 55 (vs 60 for new signals)
- Fail-open design: proceeds if analytics unavailable
- Show data freshness and source in Telegram responses
- Add comprehensive setup guide in docs/guides/REENTRY_ANALYTICS_QUICKSTART.md

Phase 1 implementation for smart manual trade validation.
2025-11-07 20:40:07 +01:00
mindesbunister
6d5991172a feat: Implement ATR-based dynamic TP2 system and fix P&L calculation
- Add ATR-based dynamic TP2 scaling from 0.7% to 3.0% based on volatility
- New config options: useAtrBasedTargets, atrMultiplierForTp2, minTp2Percent, maxTp2Percent
- Enhanced settings UI with ATR controls and updated risk calculator
- Fix external closure P&L calculation using unrealized P&L instead of volatile current price
- Update execute and test endpoints to use calculateDynamicTp2() function
- Maintain 25% runner system for capturing extended moves (4-5% targets)
- Add environment variables for ATR-based configuration
- Better P&L accuracy for manual position closures
2025-11-07 17:01:22 +01:00
mindesbunister
5acc61cf66 Fix P&L calculation and update Copilot instructions
- Fix P&L calculation in Position Manager to use actual entry vs exit price instead of SDK's potentially incorrect realizedPnL
- Calculate actual profit percentage and apply to closed position size for accurate dollar amounts
- Update database record for last trade from incorrect 6.58 to actual .66 P&L
- Update .github/copilot-instructions.md to reflect TP2-as-runner system changes
- Document 25% runner system (5x larger than old 5%) with ATR-based trailing
- Add critical P&L calculation pattern to common pitfalls section
- Mark Phase 5 complete in development roadmap
2025-11-07 16:24:43 +01:00
mindesbunister
6983f37a59 Fix Prisma Decimal type handling in version comparison API
- Changed numeric fields from typed as number to 'any' in raw query results
- Properly convert Prisma Decimal/BigInt types to JavaScript numbers
- Fixes TypeError: e.totalPnL.toFixed is not a function
- All numeric values (totalPnL, avgPnL, avgADX, etc.) now converted with Number()

Issue: Prisma returns Decimal objects from aggregation queries which don't have
toFixed() method. Frontend expects plain numbers for .toFixed(2) formatting.
2025-11-07 13:11:04 +01:00
mindesbunister
711ff9aaf4 Add signal quality version comparison to analytics dashboard
- Created /api/analytics/version-comparison endpoint
- Shows performance metrics for v1, v2, v3 scoring logic
- Compares: trade count, win rate, P&L, quality scores, MFE/MAE
- Special focus on extreme positions (< 15% or > 85% range)
- Tracks weak ADX count (< 18) for each version
- Visual indicators for current version (v3)
- Data collection progress notice for v3 (need 20+ trades)
- Legend explaining MFE, MAE, extreme positions, weak ADX

Enables data-driven optimization by comparing algorithm performance
with clean, version-tagged datasets.
2025-11-07 13:05:48 +01:00
mindesbunister
625dc44c59 Add signal quality version tracking to database
- Added signalQualityVersion field to Trade model
- Tracks which scoring logic version was used for each trade
- v1: Original logic (price position < 5% threshold)
- v2: Added volume compensation for low ADX
- v3: CURRENT - Stricter logic requiring ADX > 18 for extreme positions (< 15%)

This enables future analysis to:
- Compare performance between logic versions
- Filter trades by scoring algorithm
- Data-driven improvements based on clean datasets

All new trades will be marked as v3. Old trades remain null/v1 for comparison.
2025-11-07 12:56:35 +01:00
mindesbunister
0365560c5b Add timeframe-aware signal quality scoring for 5min charts
- Lower ADX/ATR thresholds for 5min timeframe (ADX 12-22, ATR 0.2-0.7%)
- Add anti-chop filter: -20 points for extreme sideways (ADX<10, ATR<0.25, Vol<0.9)
- Pass timeframe parameter through check-risk and execute endpoints
- Fixes flip-flop losses from overly strict 5min filters
- Higher timeframes unchanged (still use ADX 18+, ATR 0.4+)

5min scoring now:
- ADX 12-15: moderate trend (+5)
- ADX 22+: strong trend (+15)
- ATR 0.2-0.35: acceptable (+5)
- ATR 0.35+: healthy (+10)
- Extreme chop penalty prevents whipsaw trades
2025-11-07 08:56:19 +01:00
mindesbunister
6c7eaf5f04 Add TP1/SL consistency check on trade restore 2025-11-06 12:18:31 +01:00
mindesbunister
a100945864 Enhance trailing stop with ATR-based sizing 2025-11-05 15:28:12 +01:00
mindesbunister
cbb6592153 fix: correct PnL math and add health probe 2025-11-05 07:58:27 +01:00
mindesbunister
02193b7dce fix(critical): Unify quality score calculation across check-risk and execute
PROBLEM:
- check-risk calculated quality score: 60, 70 (PASSED)
- execute calculated quality score: 35, 45 (should have BLOCKED)
- Two different functions with different logic caused trades to bypass validation

ROOT CAUSE:
Two separate scoring functions existed:
1. scoreSignalQuality() in check-risk (detailed, 95% price threshold)
2. calculateQualityScore() in execute (simpler, 90% price threshold)

Example with pricePosition=96.4%, volumeRatio=0.9:
- check-risk: Checks >95, volumeRatio>1.4 failed → -15 + bonuses = 60  PASSED
- execute: Checks >90 → -15 + bonuses = 35  Should block but already opened

SOLUTION:
1. Created lib/trading/signal-quality.ts with unified scoreSignalQuality()
2. Both endpoints now import and use SAME function
3. Consistent scoring logic: 95% price threshold, volume breakout bonus
4. Returns detailed reasons for debugging

IMPACT:
- Quality scores now MATCH between check-risk and execute
- No more trades bypassing validation due to calculation differences
- Better debugging with quality reasons logged

Files changed:
- NEW: lib/trading/signal-quality.ts (unified scoring function)
- MODIFIED: app/api/trading/check-risk/route.ts (import shared function)
- MODIFIED: app/api/trading/execute/route.ts (import shared function)
- REMOVED: Duplicate calculateQualityScore() from execute
- REMOVED: Duplicate scoreSignalQuality() from check-risk
2025-11-04 11:40:25 +01:00
mindesbunister
8bc08955cc feat: Add phantom trade detection and database tracking
- Detect position size mismatches (>50% variance) after opening
- Save phantom trades to database with expectedSizeUSD, actualSizeUSD, phantomReason
- Return error from execute endpoint to prevent Position Manager tracking
- Add comprehensive documentation of phantom trade issue and solution
- Enable data collection for pattern analysis and future optimization

Fixes oracle price lag issue during volatile markets where transactions
confirm but positions don't actually open at expected size.
2025-11-04 10:34:38 +01:00
mindesbunister
f682b93a1e Fix: Signal flip race condition - properly coordinate Position Manager during opposite signal closure
- Remove trade from Position Manager BEFORE closing Drift position (prevents race condition)
- Explicitly save closure to database with proper P&L calculation
- Mark flipped positions as 'manual' exit reason
- Increase delay from 1s to 2s for better on-chain confirmation
- Preserve MAE/MFE data in closure records

Fixes issue where SHORT signal would close LONG but not properly track the new SHORT position.
Database now correctly records both old position closure and new position opening.
2025-11-03 20:23:42 +01:00
mindesbunister
80635fc0c0 feat: Add position scaling controls to settings UI
**UI Updates (settings page):**
Added new '📈 Position Scaling' section with:
- Enable/disable toggle (defaults to OFF)
- Min quality score slider (60-90, default 75)
- Min profit to scale (0-2%, default 0.4%)
- Scale size percent (10-100%, default 50%)
- Max position multiplier (1-3x, default 2.0x)
- Min ADX increase (0-15, default 5)
- Max price position for scale (50-90%, default 70%)

**Visual Feedback:**
- Purple-themed section with warning banner
- Real-time risk calculator showing:
  * Original position size (SOL example)
  * Scale addition amount
  * Total after 1 scale
  * Maximum possible position size
- Dynamic descriptions explain each parameter
- Warning: 'DISABLED by default' with red indicator

**API Updates:**
Extended /api/settings GET/POST to handle 7 new fields:
- ENABLE_POSITION_SCALING
- MIN_SCALE_QUALITY_SCORE
- MIN_PROFIT_FOR_SCALE
- MAX_SCALE_MULTIPLIER
- SCALE_SIZE_PERCENT
- MIN_ADX_INCREASE
- MAX_PRICE_POSITION_FOR_SCALE

**User Flow:**
1. Navigate to http://localhost:3001/settings
2. Scroll to '📈 Position Scaling' section
3. Toggle 'Enable Position Scaling' to 1
4. Adjust thresholds (defaults are conservative)
5. See live calculation of scaling impact
6. Click 'Save Settings'
7. Click 'Restart Bot' to apply

**Safety:**
- Feature OFF by default (requires explicit opt-in)
- Warning banner explains scaling behavior
- Risk calculator shows maximum exposure
- Conservative defaults prevent aggressive scaling
- All parameters adjustable via sliders

**Example:**
With defaults (SOL $210×10x = $2100):
- Scale adds: $1050 (50% of $2100)
- Total after 1 scale: $3150
- Max position (2x): $4200

User can now enable and configure position scaling without touching .env file!
2025-11-03 15:45:11 +01:00
mindesbunister
8a8d4a348c feat: Add position scaling for strong confirmation signals
**Feature: Position Scaling**
Allows adding to existing profitable positions when high-quality signals confirm trend strength.

**Configuration (config/trading.ts):**
- enablePositionScaling: false (disabled by default - enable after testing)
- minScaleQualityScore: 75 (higher bar than initial 60)
- minProfitForScale: 0.4% (must be at/past TP1)
- maxScaleMultiplier: 2.0 (max 200% of original size)
- scaleSizePercent: 50% (add 50% of original position)
- minAdxIncrease: 5 (ADX must strengthen)
- maxPricePositionForScale: 70% (don't chase resistance)

**Validation Logic (check-risk endpoint):**
Same-direction signal triggers scaling check if enabled:
1. Quality score ≥75 (stronger than initial entry)
2. Position profitable ≥0.4% (at/past TP1)
3. ADX increased ≥5 points (trend strengthening)
4. Price position <70% (not near resistance)
5. Total size <2x original (risk management)
6. Returns 'allowed: true, reason: Position scaling' if all pass

**Execution (execute endpoint):**
- Opens additional position at scale size (50% of original)
- Updates ActiveTrade: timesScaled, totalScaleAdded, currentSize
- Tracks originalAdx from first entry for comparison
- Returns 'action: scaled' with scale details

**ActiveTrade Interface:**
Added fields:
- originalAdx?: number (for scaling validation)
- timesScaled?: number (track scaling count)
- totalScaleAdded?: number (total USD added)

**Example Scenario:**
1. LONG SOL at $176 (quality: 45, ADX: 13.4) - weak but entered
2. Price hits $176.70 (+0.4%) - at TP1
3. New LONG signal (quality: 78, ADX: 19) - strong confirmation
4. Scaling validation:  Quality 78  Profit +0.4%  ADX +5.6  Price 68%
5. Adds 50% more position at $176.70
6. Total position: 150% of original size

**Conservative Design:**
- Disabled by default (requires manual enabling)
- Only scales INTO profitable positions (never averaging down)
- Requires significant quality improvement (75 vs 60)
- Requires trend confirmation (ADX increase)
- Hard cap at 2x original size
- Won't chase near resistance levels

**Next Steps:**
1. Enable in settings: ENABLE_POSITION_SCALING=true
2. Test with small positions first
3. Monitor data: do scaled positions outperform?
4. Adjust thresholds based on results

**Safety:**
- All existing duplicate prevention logic intact
- Flip logic unchanged (still requires quality check)
- Position Manager tracks scaling state
- Can be toggled on/off without code changes
2025-11-03 15:35:33 +01:00
mindesbunister
57f0457f95 fix: Require signal quality check for position flips
**Problem:**
- Signal flips (SHORT→LONG or LONG→SHORT) were auto-approved
- Bypassed signal quality scoring, cooldown, drawdown checks
- User wanted flips ONLY if new signal has strong quality (score ≥60)

**Solution:**
- Removed early return for opposite-direction signals in check-risk
- Flips now go through FULL validation: quality score, cooldown, limits
- Execute endpoint still handles flip logic (close opposite + open new)

**New Flow:**
1. n8n sends flip signal → check-risk endpoint
2. Detects potential flip, logs 'checking quality score'
3. Continues to quality checks (not early return)
4. If score ≥60 AND all checks pass → execute handles flip
5. If score <60 → BLOCKS flip with 'Signal quality too low'

**Result:**
Flips now require signal strength, not just direction change
2025-11-03 14:34:26 +01:00
mindesbunister
6b1d32a72d fix: Add phantom trade detection and prevention safeguards
**Root Causes:**
1. Auto-flip logic could create phantom trades if close failed
2. Position size mismatches (0.01 SOL vs 11.92 SOL expected) not caught
3. Multiple trades for same symbol+direction in database

**Preventive Measures:**

1. **Startup Validation (lib/startup/init-position-manager.ts)**
   - Validates all open trades against Drift positions on startup
   - Auto-closes phantom trades with <50% expected size
   - Logs size mismatches for manual review
   - Prevents Position Manager from tracking ghost positions

2. **Duplicate Position Prevention (app/api/trading/execute/route.ts)**
   - Blocks opening same-direction position on same symbol
   - Returns 400 error if duplicate detected
   - Only allows auto-flip (opposite direction close + open)

3. **Runtime Phantom Detection (lib/trading/position-manager.ts)**
   - Checks position size every 2s monitoring cycle
   - Auto-closes if size ratio <50% (extreme mismatch)
   - Logs as 'manual' exit with AUTO_CLEANUP tx
   - Removes from monitoring immediately

4. **Quality Score Fix (app/api/trading/check-risk/route.ts)**
   - Hardcoded minScore=60 (removed non-existent config reference)

**Prevention Summary:**
-  Startup validation catches historical phantoms
-  Duplicate check prevents new phantoms
-  Runtime detection catches size mismatches <30s after they occur
-  All three layers work together for defense-in-depth

Issue: User had LONG (phantom) + SHORT (undersized 0.01 SOL vs 11.92 expected)
Fix: Both detected and closed, bot now clean with 0 active trades
2025-11-03 13:53:12 +01:00
mindesbunister
881a99242d feat: Add per-symbol trading controls for SOL and ETH
- Add SymbolSettings interface with enabled/positionSize/leverage fields
- Implement per-symbol ENV variables (SOLANA_*, ETHEREUM_*)
- Add SOL and ETH sections to settings UI with enable/disable toggles
- Add symbol-specific test buttons (SOL LONG/SHORT, ETH LONG/SHORT)
- Update execute and test endpoints to check symbol enabled status
- Add real-time risk/reward calculator per symbol
- Rename 'Position Sizing' to 'Global Fallback' for clarity
- Fix position manager P&L calculation for externally closed positions
- Fix zero P&L bug affecting 12 historical trades
- Add SQL scripts for recalculating historical P&L data
- Move archive TypeScript files to .archive to fix build

Defaults:
- SOL: 10 base × 10x leverage = 100 notional (profit trading)
- ETH:  base × 1x leverage =  notional (data collection)
- Global: 10 × 10x for BTC and other symbols

Configuration priority: Per-symbol ENV > Market config > Global ENV > Defaults
2025-11-03 10:28:48 +01:00
mindesbunister
0ed2e89c7e feat: implement per-symbol cooldown period
CRITICAL: Cooldown was global across ALL symbols, causing missed opportunities
Example: ETH trade at 10:00 blocked SOL trade at 10:04 (5min cooldown)

Changes:
- Added getLastTradeTimeForSymbol() function to query last trade per symbol
- Updated check-risk endpoint to use symbol-specific cooldown
- Each coin (SOL/ETH/BTC) now has independent cooldown timer
- Cooldown message shows symbol: 'Must wait X min before next SOL-PERP trade'

Result: Can trade ETH and SOL simultaneously without interference
Example: ETH LONG at 10:00, SOL SHORT at 10:01 = both allowed
2025-11-03 08:01:30 +01:00
mindesbunister
d4aeeb4f99 fix: add MAE/MFE fields to all ActiveTrade initializations
Updated execute, test, and test-db endpoints to include:
- maxFavorableExcursion: 0
- maxAdverseExcursion: 0
- maxFavorablePrice: entryPrice
- maxAdversePrice: entryPrice

Required for TypeScript compilation after adding MAE/MFE tracking
2025-11-02 23:04:02 +01:00
mindesbunister
32e88c3823 fix: improve signal quality scoring for volume breakouts
- Lower ATR threshold from 0.6% to 0.15% (allows low volatility breakouts)
- Increase volume bonus: +15 for very strong volume (1.5x+), was +10 for 1.2x+
- Add volume breakout logic: High volume (1.4x+) at 95%+ range gets +5 instead of -15 penalty
- Add volume compensation: +10 bonus when volume >1.8x and ATR <0.6%
- Example: SOL signal with 0.18% ATR, 1.74x volume at 95.6% range now scores 70/100 (PASS) instead of 25/100 (BLOCK)
- This signal moved +0.97% and would have hit TP1 (+1.5%) - proves quality scoring was too conservative
- Changes apply globally to all symbols (SOL, ETH, BTC) using same scoring algorithm
2025-11-02 09:10:03 +01:00
mindesbunister
056440bf8f feat: add quality score display and timezone fixes
- Add qualityScore to ExecuteTradeResponse interface and response object
- Update analytics page to always show Signal Quality card (N/A if unavailable)
- Fix n8n workflow to pass context metrics and qualityScore to execute endpoint
- Fix timezone in Telegram notifications (Europe/Berlin)
- Fix symbol normalization in /api/trading/close endpoint
- Update Drift ETH-PERP minimum order size (0.002 ETH not 0.01)
- Add transaction confirmation to closePosition() to prevent phantom closes
- Add 30-second grace period for new trades in Position Manager
- Fix execution order: database save before Position Manager.addTrade()
- Update copilot instructions with transaction confirmation pattern
2025-11-01 17:00:37 +01:00
mindesbunister
49a09ef04e Add 'Clear Manual Closes' button to analytics
- New button in analytics page to clear orphaned trades
- API endpoint /api/trading/clear-manual-closes
- Intelligently checks Drift positions before deleting
- Only removes trades with no matching position or mismatched entry price
- Safe operation: keeps trades on error (false positives better than deletions)
- User-friendly confirmation dialog
2025-11-01 02:41:26 +01:00
mindesbunister
a6005b6a5b Add configurable minimum quality score setting
- Added minQualityScore to TradingConfig (default: 60)
- Updated settings UI with slider control (0-100, step 5)
- Updated check-risk endpoint to use config value
- Made scoreSignalQuality function accept minScore parameter
- Updated API to read/write MIN_QUALITY_SCORE env variable
- Allows users to adjust quality threshold from settings page
2025-11-01 01:59:08 +01:00
mindesbunister
6f1c7bd5e3 fix: update test endpoint to use symbol-specific position sizing 2025-10-31 16:34:25 +01:00
mindesbunister
26f70c6426 feat: implement symbol-specific position sizing for multi-asset trading
- Extended MarketConfig with optional positionSize and leverage fields
- Configured ETH-PERP at  @ 1x leverage for minimal-risk data collection
- Created getPositionSizeForSymbol() helper function in config/trading.ts
- Integrated symbol-specific sizing into execute endpoint
- Added comprehensive guide in docs/guides/SYMBOL_SPECIFIC_SIZING.md

Purpose: Enable ETH trading for faster signal quality data collection
         while preserving SOL's profit-generation sizing (0 @ 10x)

Next: Create ETH alert in TradingView and restart bot
2025-10-31 16:16:03 +01:00
mindesbunister
3c79ecbe55 Display signal quality score on analytics dashboard
- Add signalQualityScore to LastTrade interface
- Display quality score badge in last trade section (0-100)
- Color-coded: green (80+), yellow (70-79), orange (60-69)
- Shows 'Excellent', 'Good', or 'Marginal' label
- Gracefully handles null values (old trades without scores)
- Better layout when quality score is present
2025-10-31 11:34:46 +01:00
mindesbunister
090b79a07f Store signal quality score in database for future analysis
- Add signalQualityScore field to Trade model (0-100)
- Calculate quality score in execute endpoint using same logic as check-risk
- Save score with every trade for correlation analysis
- Create database migration for new field
- Enables future analysis: score vs win rate, P&L, etc.

This allows data-driven decisions on dynamic position sizing
2025-10-31 11:12:07 +01:00
mindesbunister
aecdc108f6 Add last trade details to analytics dashboard
- Add getLastTrade() function to database service
- Create /api/analytics/last-trade endpoint
- Display last trade with full details on analytics page
- Show entry/exit prices, P&L, position size, targets
- Visual indicators for trade direction and exit reason
- Helps quickly diagnose where trades went (TP1, TP2, or SL)
2025-10-31 10:47:19 +01:00
mindesbunister
37ce94d8f1 Restore context metrics in execute endpoint and clean up test files 2025-10-31 09:09:26 +01:00
mindesbunister
830468d524 Implement signal quality scoring system
- Updated execute endpoint to store context metrics in database
- Updated CreateTradeParams interface with 5 context metrics
- Updated Prisma schema with rsiAtEntry and pricePositionAtEntry
- Ran migration: add_rsi_and_price_position_metrics
- Complete flow: TradingView → n8n → check-risk (scores) → execute (stores)
2025-10-30 19:31:32 +01:00
mindesbunister
7c4adff4e4 Implement risk checks: cooldown, hourly limit, and daily drawdown
Implemented 3 critical risk checks in /api/trading/check-risk:

1. Daily Drawdown Check
   - Blocks trades if today's P&L < maxDailyDrawdown
   - Prevents catastrophic daily losses
   - Currently: -0 limit (configurable via MAX_DAILY_DRAWDOWN)

2. Hourly Trade Limit
   - Blocks trades if tradesInLastHour >= maxTradesPerHour
   - Prevents overtrading / algorithm malfunction
   - Currently: 20 trades/hour (configurable via MAX_TRADES_PER_HOUR)

3. Cooldown Period
   - Blocks trades if timeSinceLastTrade < minTimeBetweenTrades
   - Enforces breathing room between trades
   - Uses minutes (not seconds) thanks to previous commit
   - Currently: 0 min = disabled (configurable via MIN_TIME_BETWEEN_TRADES)

Added database helper functions:
- getLastTradeTime() - Returns timestamp of most recent trade
- getTradesInLastHour() - Counts trades in last 60 minutes
- getTodayPnL() - Sums realized P&L since midnight

All checks include detailed logging with values and thresholds.
Risk check called by n8n workflow before every trade execution.
2025-10-30 10:50:08 +01:00
mindesbunister
b7b0fb9bb2 Change cooldown unit from seconds to minutes
- Updated minTimeBetweenTrades config to use minutes instead of seconds
- Changed default from 600 seconds to 10 minutes
- Updated Settings UI label from 'seconds' to 'minutes' and adjusted range (0-60 min)
- Updated .env comments to reflect new unit
- No functional change since cooldown enforcement not yet implemented (TODO in check-risk route)
2025-10-30 10:35:47 +01:00
mindesbunister
6e87fc8749 Phase 4: TP/SL Optimization Visual Dashboard
- Created /analytics/optimization page with comprehensive UI
- Displays MAE/MFE analysis with percentiles
- Shows current TP/SL performance with hit rate bars
- Visualizes optimal recommendations vs current levels
- Projects impact of optimization (win rate, profit factor, P&L improvement)
- Provides reasoning for each recommended level
- Added navigation link from main analytics page

Dashboard features:
- Overview stats: total trades, win rate, profit factor, money left on table
- MAE analysis: avg, median, 25th/75th percentile, worst
- MFE analysis: avg, median, 25th/75th percentile, best
- Current config: TP1/TP2/SL hit rates with progress bars
- Recommendations: optimal levels with color-coded cards
- Reasoning cards: explanation for each recommendation
- Projected impact: win rate change, profit factor change, profit improvement
- Direct link to Settings page to apply recommendations

Access at: http://localhost:3001/analytics/optimization

Phase 1-4 Complete! System now tracks MAE/MFE, captures market context,
analyzes performance, and provides data-driven TP/SL recommendations.
2025-10-29 21:19:52 +01:00
mindesbunister
da72b5de04 Phase 3: TP/SL Optimization Analytics API
- Created /api/analytics/tp-sl-optimization endpoint
- Analyzes historical trades using MAE/MFE data
- Calculates optimal TP1/TP2/SL levels based on percentiles
- Provides win rate, profit factor, and hit rate analysis
- Shows money left on table (MFE - realized P&L)
- Projects impact of optimal levels on future performance

Analytics calculated:
- MAE analysis: avg, median, percentiles, worst
- MFE analysis: avg, median, percentiles, best
- Current level performance: TP1/TP2/SL hit rates
- Optimal recommendations: TP1=50% of avg MFE, TP2=80%, SL=70% of avg MAE
- Projected improvements: win rate change, profit factor, total P&L

Requires 10+ closed trades with MAE/MFE data to generate recommendations
Test script: scripts/test-analytics.sh

Next: Phase 4 (visual dashboard) or wait for trades with MAE/MFE data
2025-10-29 21:11:23 +01:00
mindesbunister
e068c5f2e6 Phase 2: Market context capture at entry
- Added getFundingRate() method to DriftService
- Capture expectedEntryPrice from oracle before order execution
- Capture fundingRateAtEntry from Drift Protocol
- Save market context fields to database (expectedEntryPrice, fundingRateAtEntry)
- Calculate entry slippage percentage in createTrade()
- Fixed template literal syntax errors in execute endpoint

Database fields populated:
- expectedEntryPrice: Oracle price before order
- entrySlippagePct: Calculated from entrySlippage
- fundingRateAtEntry: Current funding rate from Drift

Next: Phase 3 (analytics API) or test market context on next trade
2025-10-29 20:51:46 +01:00
mindesbunister
65e6a8efed Phase 1: Add MAE/MFE tracking and analytics schema
- Added 20+ analytics fields to Trade model (MAE/MFE, fill tracking, timing, market context, slippage)
- Implemented real-time MAE/MFE tracking in Position Manager (updates every 5s)
- Enhanced database schema with comprehensive trade analytics
- Updated all API endpoints to initialize MAE/MFE fields
- Modified updateTradeState() to persist MAE/MFE in configSnapshot

Database changes:
- maxFavorableExcursion/maxAdverseExcursion track best/worst profit %
- maxFavorablePrice/maxAdversePrice track exact price levels
- Fill tracking: tp1Filled, tp2Filled, softSlFilled, hardSlFilled
- Timing metrics: timeToTp1, timeToTp2, timeToSl
- Market context: atrAtEntry, adxAtEntry, volumeAtEntry, fundingRateAtEntry, basisAtEntry
- Slippage tracking: expectedEntryPrice, entrySlippagePct, expectedExitPrice, exitSlippagePct

Position Manager changes:
- Track MAE/MFE on every price check (2s interval)
- Throttled database updates (5s interval) via updateTradeMetrics()
- Persist MAE/MFE in trade state snapshots for recovery

Next: Phase 2 (market context capture) or Phase 3 (analytics API)
2025-10-29 20:34:03 +01:00
mindesbunister
797e80b56a CRITICAL FIX: TP/SL orders using wrong size calculation
**ROOT CAUSE:** placeExitOrders() calculated position size using TP/SL prices instead of entry price

**Problem:**
- TP1 order size: 85 / TP1_price (00.746) = 2.914 SOL
- Actual position: 80 / entry_price (99.946) = 3.901 SOL
- TP1 should close: 3.901 * 75% = 2.926 SOL
- But it only closed: 2.914 SOL = 74.7%  WRONG!

**Result:** TP1 closed ~25% instead of 75%, no runner left

**Fix:**
- Changed usdToBase() to use entryPrice for ALL size calculations
- Added entryPrice param to PlaceExitOrdersOptions interface
- Updated all API routes to pass entryPrice

**Testing:** Next trade will have correctly sized TP/SL orders
2025-10-29 17:34:10 +01:00
mindesbunister
e8a9b68fa7 Fix: Critical bugs - TP2 runner calculation + race condition + order cleanup
**Issue 1: TP2 Runner Position Bug**  FIXED
- TP2 was calculated as 80% of ORIGINAL position instead of REMAINING
- With TP1=75%, TP2=80%: Was closing 75%+80%=155% (capped at 100%)
- Now correctly: TP1 closes 75%, TP2 closes 80% of remaining 25% = 20%
- Result: 5% runner now remains for trailing stop as intended!

**Issue 2: Race Condition - Orphaned SL Orders**  FIXED
- Orders were placed AFTER Position Manager started monitoring
- If TP hit fast, PM detected 'external closure' before orders finished
- Orders completed after position gone → orphaned SL orders on Drift
- Now: Exit orders placed BEFORE starting monitoring
- PM can now properly cancel remaining orders when position closes

**Issue 3: 5min vs 15min Timeframe** ⚠️ NEEDS VERIFICATION
- n8n workflow correctly filters for timeframe === '15'
- Extracts timeframe with regex: /\.P\s+(\d+)/
- User needs to verify TradingView alert includes '.P 15' in message
- Format should be: 'SOL buy .P 15' not just 'SOL buy'

**Technical Changes:**
- lib/drift/orders.ts: Fixed TP2 calculation to use remaining size
- Added logging: Shows TP1, TP2, remaining, and runner amounts
- app/api/trading/execute/route.ts: Reordered to place orders before monitoring
- Prevents race condition where orders complete after position closed

**Testing:**
- Next trade will show proper runner position (5% remains)
- No more orphaned SL orders after wins
- Logs will show: 'Runner (if any): $X.XX'

**Documentation:**
- Created CRITICAL_ISSUES_FOUND.md explaining all 3 issues
- Created FIXES_APPLIED.md with testing instructions
2025-10-28 10:12:04 +01:00
mindesbunister
a72ddd8f0e Fix: Position Manager initialization race condition in API endpoints
- Changed /api/trading/positions to use getInitializedPositionManager()
- Changed /api/trading/test to use getInitializedPositionManager()
- Changed /api/trading/test-db to use getInitializedPositionManager()
- These endpoints were accessing Position Manager before DB restore completed
- Now properly wait for async initialization before accessing trade data
- Fixes /status Telegram command showing empty despite active positions
2025-10-27 23:38:24 +01:00
mindesbunister
9bf83260c4 Add /close command and auto-flip logic with order cleanup
- Added /close Telegram command for full position closure
- Updated /reduce to accept 10-100% (was 10-90%)
- Implemented auto-flip logic: automatically closes opposite position when signal reverses
- Fixed risk check to allow opposite direction trades (signal flips)
- Enhanced Position Manager to cancel orders when removing trades
- Added startup initialization for Position Manager (restores trades on restart)
- Fixed analytics to show stopped-out trades (manual DB update for orphaned trade)
- Updated reduce endpoint to route 100% closes through closePosition for proper cleanup
- All position closures now guarantee TP/SL order cancellation on Drift
2025-10-27 23:27:48 +01:00
mindesbunister
a07bf9f4b2 Add position reduction feature via Telegram
- New endpoint: /api/trading/reduce-position to take partial profits
- Closes specified percentage at market price
- Recalculates and places new TP/SL orders for remaining size
- Entry price stays the same, only size is reduced
- Telegram command: /reduce [percent] (default 50%, range 10-90%)
- Shows realized P&L from the closed portion
- Example: /reduce 25 closes 25% and updates orders for remaining 75%
2025-10-27 20:34:47 +01:00
mindesbunister
1acb5e7210 Add position scaling feature via Telegram
- New endpoint: /api/trading/scale-position to add to existing positions
- Calculates new average entry price after adding more size
- Cancels old TP/SL orders and places new ones at updated levels
- Telegram command: /scale [percent] (default 50%)
- Example: /scale 100 doubles your position
- Automatically adjusts Position Manager tracking with new values
- Cleaned up stale duplicate trade from database
2025-10-27 20:24:06 +01:00