Commit Graph

77 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
mindesbunister
0365560c5b Add timeframe-aware signal quality scoring for 5min charts
- Lower ADX/ATR thresholds for 5min timeframe (ADX 12-22, ATR 0.2-0.7%)
- Add anti-chop filter: -20 points for extreme sideways (ADX<10, ATR<0.25, Vol<0.9)
- Pass timeframe parameter through check-risk and execute endpoints
- Fixes flip-flop losses from overly strict 5min filters
- Higher timeframes unchanged (still use ADX 18+, ATR 0.4+)

5min scoring now:
- ADX 12-15: moderate trend (+5)
- ADX 22+: strong trend (+15)
- ATR 0.2-0.35: acceptable (+5)
- ATR 0.35+: healthy (+10)
- Extreme chop penalty prevents whipsaw trades
2025-11-07 08:56:19 +01:00
mindesbunister
a100945864 Enhance trailing stop with ATR-based sizing 2025-11-05 15:28:12 +01:00
mindesbunister
cbb6592153 fix: correct PnL math and add health probe 2025-11-05 07:58:27 +01:00
mindesbunister
02193b7dce fix(critical): Unify quality score calculation across check-risk and execute
PROBLEM:
- check-risk calculated quality score: 60, 70 (PASSED)
- execute calculated quality score: 35, 45 (should have BLOCKED)
- Two different functions with different logic caused trades to bypass validation

ROOT CAUSE:
Two separate scoring functions existed:
1. scoreSignalQuality() in check-risk (detailed, 95% price threshold)
2. calculateQualityScore() in execute (simpler, 90% price threshold)

Example with pricePosition=96.4%, volumeRatio=0.9:
- check-risk: Checks >95, volumeRatio>1.4 failed → -15 + bonuses = 60  PASSED
- execute: Checks >90 → -15 + bonuses = 35  Should block but already opened

SOLUTION:
1. Created lib/trading/signal-quality.ts with unified scoreSignalQuality()
2. Both endpoints now import and use SAME function
3. Consistent scoring logic: 95% price threshold, volume breakout bonus
4. Returns detailed reasons for debugging

IMPACT:
- Quality scores now MATCH between check-risk and execute
- No more trades bypassing validation due to calculation differences
- Better debugging with quality reasons logged

Files changed:
- NEW: lib/trading/signal-quality.ts (unified scoring function)
- MODIFIED: app/api/trading/check-risk/route.ts (import shared function)
- MODIFIED: app/api/trading/execute/route.ts (import shared function)
- REMOVED: Duplicate calculateQualityScore() from execute
- REMOVED: Duplicate scoreSignalQuality() from check-risk
2025-11-04 11:40:25 +01:00
mindesbunister
8bc08955cc feat: Add phantom trade detection and database tracking
- Detect position size mismatches (>50% variance) after opening
- Save phantom trades to database with expectedSizeUSD, actualSizeUSD, phantomReason
- Return error from execute endpoint to prevent Position Manager tracking
- Add comprehensive documentation of phantom trade issue and solution
- Enable data collection for pattern analysis and future optimization

Fixes oracle price lag issue during volatile markets where transactions
confirm but positions don't actually open at expected size.
2025-11-04 10:34:38 +01:00
mindesbunister
f682b93a1e Fix: Signal flip race condition - properly coordinate Position Manager during opposite signal closure
- Remove trade from Position Manager BEFORE closing Drift position (prevents race condition)
- Explicitly save closure to database with proper P&L calculation
- Mark flipped positions as 'manual' exit reason
- Increase delay from 1s to 2s for better on-chain confirmation
- Preserve MAE/MFE data in closure records

Fixes issue where SHORT signal would close LONG but not properly track the new SHORT position.
Database now correctly records both old position closure and new position opening.
2025-11-03 20:23:42 +01:00
mindesbunister
8a8d4a348c feat: Add position scaling for strong confirmation signals
**Feature: Position Scaling**
Allows adding to existing profitable positions when high-quality signals confirm trend strength.

**Configuration (config/trading.ts):**
- enablePositionScaling: false (disabled by default - enable after testing)
- minScaleQualityScore: 75 (higher bar than initial 60)
- minProfitForScale: 0.4% (must be at/past TP1)
- maxScaleMultiplier: 2.0 (max 200% of original size)
- scaleSizePercent: 50% (add 50% of original position)
- minAdxIncrease: 5 (ADX must strengthen)
- maxPricePositionForScale: 70% (don't chase resistance)

**Validation Logic (check-risk endpoint):**
Same-direction signal triggers scaling check if enabled:
1. Quality score ≥75 (stronger than initial entry)
2. Position profitable ≥0.4% (at/past TP1)
3. ADX increased ≥5 points (trend strengthening)
4. Price position <70% (not near resistance)
5. Total size <2x original (risk management)
6. Returns 'allowed: true, reason: Position scaling' if all pass

**Execution (execute endpoint):**
- Opens additional position at scale size (50% of original)
- Updates ActiveTrade: timesScaled, totalScaleAdded, currentSize
- Tracks originalAdx from first entry for comparison
- Returns 'action: scaled' with scale details

**ActiveTrade Interface:**
Added fields:
- originalAdx?: number (for scaling validation)
- timesScaled?: number (track scaling count)
- totalScaleAdded?: number (total USD added)

**Example Scenario:**
1. LONG SOL at $176 (quality: 45, ADX: 13.4) - weak but entered
2. Price hits $176.70 (+0.4%) - at TP1
3. New LONG signal (quality: 78, ADX: 19) - strong confirmation
4. Scaling validation:  Quality 78  Profit +0.4%  ADX +5.6  Price 68%
5. Adds 50% more position at $176.70
6. Total position: 150% of original size

**Conservative Design:**
- Disabled by default (requires manual enabling)
- Only scales INTO profitable positions (never averaging down)
- Requires significant quality improvement (75 vs 60)
- Requires trend confirmation (ADX increase)
- Hard cap at 2x original size
- Won't chase near resistance levels

**Next Steps:**
1. Enable in settings: ENABLE_POSITION_SCALING=true
2. Test with small positions first
3. Monitor data: do scaled positions outperform?
4. Adjust thresholds based on results

**Safety:**
- All existing duplicate prevention logic intact
- Flip logic unchanged (still requires quality check)
- Position Manager tracks scaling state
- Can be toggled on/off without code changes
2025-11-03 15:35:33 +01:00
mindesbunister
6b1d32a72d fix: Add phantom trade detection and prevention safeguards
**Root Causes:**
1. Auto-flip logic could create phantom trades if close failed
2. Position size mismatches (0.01 SOL vs 11.92 SOL expected) not caught
3. Multiple trades for same symbol+direction in database

**Preventive Measures:**

1. **Startup Validation (lib/startup/init-position-manager.ts)**
   - Validates all open trades against Drift positions on startup
   - Auto-closes phantom trades with <50% expected size
   - Logs size mismatches for manual review
   - Prevents Position Manager from tracking ghost positions

2. **Duplicate Position Prevention (app/api/trading/execute/route.ts)**
   - Blocks opening same-direction position on same symbol
   - Returns 400 error if duplicate detected
   - Only allows auto-flip (opposite direction close + open)

3. **Runtime Phantom Detection (lib/trading/position-manager.ts)**
   - Checks position size every 2s monitoring cycle
   - Auto-closes if size ratio <50% (extreme mismatch)
   - Logs as 'manual' exit with AUTO_CLEANUP tx
   - Removes from monitoring immediately

4. **Quality Score Fix (app/api/trading/check-risk/route.ts)**
   - Hardcoded minScore=60 (removed non-existent config reference)

**Prevention Summary:**
-  Startup validation catches historical phantoms
-  Duplicate check prevents new phantoms
-  Runtime detection catches size mismatches <30s after they occur
-  All three layers work together for defense-in-depth

Issue: User had LONG (phantom) + SHORT (undersized 0.01 SOL vs 11.92 expected)
Fix: Both detected and closed, bot now clean with 0 active trades
2025-11-03 13:53:12 +01:00
mindesbunister
881a99242d feat: Add per-symbol trading controls for SOL and ETH
- Add SymbolSettings interface with enabled/positionSize/leverage fields
- Implement per-symbol ENV variables (SOLANA_*, ETHEREUM_*)
- Add SOL and ETH sections to settings UI with enable/disable toggles
- Add symbol-specific test buttons (SOL LONG/SHORT, ETH LONG/SHORT)
- Update execute and test endpoints to check symbol enabled status
- Add real-time risk/reward calculator per symbol
- Rename 'Position Sizing' to 'Global Fallback' for clarity
- Fix position manager P&L calculation for externally closed positions
- Fix zero P&L bug affecting 12 historical trades
- Add SQL scripts for recalculating historical P&L data
- Move archive TypeScript files to .archive to fix build

Defaults:
- SOL: 10 base × 10x leverage = 100 notional (profit trading)
- ETH:  base × 1x leverage =  notional (data collection)
- Global: 10 × 10x for BTC and other symbols

Configuration priority: Per-symbol ENV > Market config > Global ENV > Defaults
2025-11-03 10:28:48 +01:00
mindesbunister
d4aeeb4f99 fix: add MAE/MFE fields to all ActiveTrade initializations
Updated execute, test, and test-db endpoints to include:
- maxFavorableExcursion: 0
- maxAdverseExcursion: 0
- maxFavorablePrice: entryPrice
- maxAdversePrice: entryPrice

Required for TypeScript compilation after adding MAE/MFE tracking
2025-11-02 23:04:02 +01:00
mindesbunister
056440bf8f feat: add quality score display and timezone fixes
- Add qualityScore to ExecuteTradeResponse interface and response object
- Update analytics page to always show Signal Quality card (N/A if unavailable)
- Fix n8n workflow to pass context metrics and qualityScore to execute endpoint
- Fix timezone in Telegram notifications (Europe/Berlin)
- Fix symbol normalization in /api/trading/close endpoint
- Update Drift ETH-PERP minimum order size (0.002 ETH not 0.01)
- Add transaction confirmation to closePosition() to prevent phantom closes
- Add 30-second grace period for new trades in Position Manager
- Fix execution order: database save before Position Manager.addTrade()
- Update copilot instructions with transaction confirmation pattern
2025-11-01 17:00:37 +01:00
mindesbunister
a6005b6a5b Add configurable minimum quality score setting
- Added minQualityScore to TradingConfig (default: 60)
- Updated settings UI with slider control (0-100, step 5)
- Updated check-risk endpoint to use config value
- Made scoreSignalQuality function accept minScore parameter
- Updated API to read/write MIN_QUALITY_SCORE env variable
- Allows users to adjust quality threshold from settings page
2025-11-01 01:59:08 +01:00
mindesbunister
26f70c6426 feat: implement symbol-specific position sizing for multi-asset trading
- Extended MarketConfig with optional positionSize and leverage fields
- Configured ETH-PERP at  @ 1x leverage for minimal-risk data collection
- Created getPositionSizeForSymbol() helper function in config/trading.ts
- Integrated symbol-specific sizing into execute endpoint
- Added comprehensive guide in docs/guides/SYMBOL_SPECIFIC_SIZING.md

Purpose: Enable ETH trading for faster signal quality data collection
         while preserving SOL's profit-generation sizing (0 @ 10x)

Next: Create ETH alert in TradingView and restart bot
2025-10-31 16:16:03 +01:00
mindesbunister
090b79a07f Store signal quality score in database for future analysis
- Add signalQualityScore field to Trade model (0-100)
- Calculate quality score in execute endpoint using same logic as check-risk
- Save score with every trade for correlation analysis
- Create database migration for new field
- Enables future analysis: score vs win rate, P&L, etc.

This allows data-driven decisions on dynamic position sizing
2025-10-31 11:12:07 +01:00
mindesbunister
37ce94d8f1 Restore context metrics in execute endpoint and clean up test files 2025-10-31 09:09:26 +01:00
mindesbunister
830468d524 Implement signal quality scoring system
- Updated execute endpoint to store context metrics in database
- Updated CreateTradeParams interface with 5 context metrics
- Updated Prisma schema with rsiAtEntry and pricePositionAtEntry
- Ran migration: add_rsi_and_price_position_metrics
- Complete flow: TradingView → n8n → check-risk (scores) → execute (stores)
2025-10-30 19:31:32 +01:00
mindesbunister
e068c5f2e6 Phase 2: Market context capture at entry
- Added getFundingRate() method to DriftService
- Capture expectedEntryPrice from oracle before order execution
- Capture fundingRateAtEntry from Drift Protocol
- Save market context fields to database (expectedEntryPrice, fundingRateAtEntry)
- Calculate entry slippage percentage in createTrade()
- Fixed template literal syntax errors in execute endpoint

Database fields populated:
- expectedEntryPrice: Oracle price before order
- entrySlippagePct: Calculated from entrySlippage
- fundingRateAtEntry: Current funding rate from Drift

Next: Phase 3 (analytics API) or test market context on next trade
2025-10-29 20:51:46 +01:00
mindesbunister
65e6a8efed Phase 1: Add MAE/MFE tracking and analytics schema
- Added 20+ analytics fields to Trade model (MAE/MFE, fill tracking, timing, market context, slippage)
- Implemented real-time MAE/MFE tracking in Position Manager (updates every 5s)
- Enhanced database schema with comprehensive trade analytics
- Updated all API endpoints to initialize MAE/MFE fields
- Modified updateTradeState() to persist MAE/MFE in configSnapshot

Database changes:
- maxFavorableExcursion/maxAdverseExcursion track best/worst profit %
- maxFavorablePrice/maxAdversePrice track exact price levels
- Fill tracking: tp1Filled, tp2Filled, softSlFilled, hardSlFilled
- Timing metrics: timeToTp1, timeToTp2, timeToSl
- Market context: atrAtEntry, adxAtEntry, volumeAtEntry, fundingRateAtEntry, basisAtEntry
- Slippage tracking: expectedEntryPrice, entrySlippagePct, expectedExitPrice, exitSlippagePct

Position Manager changes:
- Track MAE/MFE on every price check (2s interval)
- Throttled database updates (5s interval) via updateTradeMetrics()
- Persist MAE/MFE in trade state snapshots for recovery

Next: Phase 2 (market context capture) or Phase 3 (analytics API)
2025-10-29 20:34:03 +01:00
mindesbunister
797e80b56a CRITICAL FIX: TP/SL orders using wrong size calculation
**ROOT CAUSE:** placeExitOrders() calculated position size using TP/SL prices instead of entry price

**Problem:**
- TP1 order size: 85 / TP1_price (00.746) = 2.914 SOL
- Actual position: 80 / entry_price (99.946) = 3.901 SOL
- TP1 should close: 3.901 * 75% = 2.926 SOL
- But it only closed: 2.914 SOL = 74.7%  WRONG!

**Result:** TP1 closed ~25% instead of 75%, no runner left

**Fix:**
- Changed usdToBase() to use entryPrice for ALL size calculations
- Added entryPrice param to PlaceExitOrdersOptions interface
- Updated all API routes to pass entryPrice

**Testing:** Next trade will have correctly sized TP/SL orders
2025-10-29 17:34:10 +01:00
mindesbunister
e8a9b68fa7 Fix: Critical bugs - TP2 runner calculation + race condition + order cleanup
**Issue 1: TP2 Runner Position Bug**  FIXED
- TP2 was calculated as 80% of ORIGINAL position instead of REMAINING
- With TP1=75%, TP2=80%: Was closing 75%+80%=155% (capped at 100%)
- Now correctly: TP1 closes 75%, TP2 closes 80% of remaining 25% = 20%
- Result: 5% runner now remains for trailing stop as intended!

**Issue 2: Race Condition - Orphaned SL Orders**  FIXED
- Orders were placed AFTER Position Manager started monitoring
- If TP hit fast, PM detected 'external closure' before orders finished
- Orders completed after position gone → orphaned SL orders on Drift
- Now: Exit orders placed BEFORE starting monitoring
- PM can now properly cancel remaining orders when position closes

**Issue 3: 5min vs 15min Timeframe** ⚠️ NEEDS VERIFICATION
- n8n workflow correctly filters for timeframe === '15'
- Extracts timeframe with regex: /\.P\s+(\d+)/
- User needs to verify TradingView alert includes '.P 15' in message
- Format should be: 'SOL buy .P 15' not just 'SOL buy'

**Technical Changes:**
- lib/drift/orders.ts: Fixed TP2 calculation to use remaining size
- Added logging: Shows TP1, TP2, remaining, and runner amounts
- app/api/trading/execute/route.ts: Reordered to place orders before monitoring
- Prevents race condition where orders complete after position closed

**Testing:**
- Next trade will show proper runner position (5% remains)
- No more orphaned SL orders after wins
- Logs will show: 'Runner (if any): $X.XX'

**Documentation:**
- Created CRITICAL_ISSUES_FOUND.md explaining all 3 issues
- Created FIXES_APPLIED.md with testing instructions
2025-10-28 10:12:04 +01:00
mindesbunister
9bf83260c4 Add /close command and auto-flip logic with order cleanup
- Added /close Telegram command for full position closure
- Updated /reduce to accept 10-100% (was 10-90%)
- Implemented auto-flip logic: automatically closes opposite position when signal reverses
- Fixed risk check to allow opposite direction trades (signal flips)
- Enhanced Position Manager to cancel orders when removing trades
- Added startup initialization for Position Manager (restores trades on restart)
- Fixed analytics to show stopped-out trades (manual DB update for orphaned trade)
- Updated reduce endpoint to route 100% closes through closePosition for proper cleanup
- All position closures now guarantee TP/SL order cancellation on Drift
2025-10-27 23:27:48 +01:00
mindesbunister
4ae9c38ad8 Add trailing stop feature for runner position + fix settings persistence
- Implemented trailing stop logic in Position Manager for remaining position after TP2
- Added new ActiveTrade fields: tp2Hit, trailingStopActive, peakPrice
- New config settings: useTrailingStop, trailingStopPercent, trailingStopActivation
- Added trailing stop UI section in settings page with explanations
- Fixed env file parsing regex to support numbers in variable names (A-Z0-9_)
- Settings now persist correctly across container restarts
- Added back arrow navigation on settings page
- Updated all API endpoints and test files with new fields
- Trailing stop activates when runner reaches configured profit level
- SL trails below peak price by configurable percentage
2025-10-27 12:11:10 +01:00
mindesbunister
d3c04ea9c9 feat: Position Manager persistence + order cleanup + improved stop loss
- Add Position Manager state persistence to survive restarts
  - Auto-restore open trades from database on startup
  - Save state after TP1, SL adjustments, profit locks
  - Persist to configSnapshot JSON field

- Add automatic order cancellation
  - Cancel all TP/SL orders when position fully closed
  - New cancelAllOrders() function in drift/orders.ts
  - Prevents orphaned orders after manual closes

- Improve stop loss management
  - Move SL to +0.35% after TP1 (was +0.15%)
  - Gives more breathing room for retracements
  - Still locks in half of TP1 profit

- Add database sync when Position Manager closes trades
  - Auto-update Trade record with exit data
  - Save P&L, exit reason, hold time
  - Fix analytics showing stale data

- Add trade state management functions
  - updateTradeState() for Position Manager persistence
  - getOpenTrades() for startup restoration
  - getInitializedPositionManager() for async init

- Create n8n database analytics workflows
  - Daily report workflow (automated at midnight)
  - Pattern analysis (hourly/daily performance)
  - Stop loss effectiveness analysis
  - Database analytics query workflow
  - Complete setup guide (N8N_DATABASE_SETUP.md)
2025-10-27 10:39:05 +01:00
mindesbunister
b82ceb49a4 feat: add position size and leverage to Telegram confirmation message 2025-10-27 01:06:51 +01:00
mindesbunister
d64f6d84c4 feat: implement dual stop system and database tracking
- Add PostgreSQL database with Prisma ORM
  - Trade model: tracks entry/exit, P&L, order signatures, config snapshots
  - PriceUpdate model: tracks price movements for drawdown analysis
  - SystemEvent model: logs errors and system events
  - DailyStats model: aggregated performance metrics

- Implement dual stop loss system (enabled by default)
  - Soft stop (TRIGGER_LIMIT) at -1.5% to avoid wicks
  - Hard stop (TRIGGER_MARKET) at -2.5% to guarantee exit
  - Configurable via USE_DUAL_STOPS, SOFT_STOP_PERCENT, HARD_STOP_PERCENT
  - Backward compatible with single stop modes

- Add database service layer (lib/database/trades.ts)
  - createTrade(): save new trades with all details
  - updateTradeExit(): close trades with P&L calculations
  - addPriceUpdate(): track price movements during trade
  - getTradeStats(): calculate win rate, profit factor, avg win/loss
  - logSystemEvent(): log errors and system events

- Update execute endpoint to use dual stops and save to database
  - Calculate dual stop prices when enabled
  - Pass dual stop parameters to placeExitOrders
  - Save complete trade record to database after execution

- Add test trade button to settings page
  - New /api/trading/test endpoint for executing test trades
  - Displays detailed results including dual stop prices
  - Confirmation dialog before execution
  - Shows entry price, position size, stops, and TX signature

- Generate Prisma client in Docker build
- Update DATABASE_URL for container networking
2025-10-26 21:29:27 +01:00
mindesbunister
4cc294baef feat: Add on-chain TP/SL order placement
- Add placeExitOrders() to create reduce-only LIMIT orders for TP1, TP2, and SL
- Orders now visible in Drift UI
- Tested with real tiny position (0 base x 5x = 0)
- All 3 exit orders placed successfully on-chain
- Position manager continues monitoring as backup
- Added test script and results documentation
2025-10-26 13:30:07 +01:00
mindesbunister
2405bff68a feat: Complete Trading Bot v4 with Drift Protocol integration
Features:
- Autonomous trading system with Drift Protocol on Solana
- Real-time position monitoring with Pyth price feeds
- Dynamic stop-loss and take-profit management
- n8n workflow integration for TradingView signals
- Beautiful web UI for settings management
- REST API for trade execution and monitoring

- Next.js 15 with standalone output mode
- TypeScript with strict typing
- Docker containerization with multi-stage builds
- PostgreSQL database for trade history
- Singleton pattern for Drift client connection pooling
- BN.js for BigNumber handling (Drift SDK requirement)

- Configurable stop-loss and take-profit levels
- Breakeven trigger and profit locking
- Daily loss limits and trade cooldowns
- Slippage tolerance controls
- DRY_RUN mode for safe testing

- Real-time risk calculator
- Interactive sliders for all parameters
- Live preview of trade outcomes
- Position sizing and leverage controls
- Beautiful gradient design with Tailwind CSS

- POST /api/trading/execute - Execute trades
- POST /api/trading/close - Close positions
- GET /api/trading/positions - Monitor active trades
- GET /api/trading/check-risk - Validate trade signals
- GET /api/settings - View configuration
- POST /api/settings - Update configuration

- Fixed Borsh serialization errors (simplified order params)
- Resolved RPC rate limiting with singleton pattern
- Fixed BigInt vs BN type mismatches
- Corrected order execution flow
- Improved position state management

- Complete setup guides
- Docker deployment instructions
- n8n workflow configuration
- API reference documentation
- Risk management guidelines

- Runs on port 3001 (external), 3000 (internal)
- Uses Helius RPC for optimal performance
- Production-ready with error handling
- Health monitoring and logging
2025-10-24 14:24:36 +02:00