c42bf94c1f
Corrected misleading statement that implied 5.1x trading gains. Reality: 46 total invested (06 + 40 deposits), 40 current = - trading P&L Changes: - Removed '5.1x in 8 days!' claim (was deposit-driven, not trading) - Added 'Total Invested' line showing 46 actual capital input - Added 'Trading P&L: -' to show early testing results - Clarified losses from v6/v7 indicator testing before v8 optimization Honesty matters - deposits ≠ profits. System is in proof phase.
10 KiB
Trading Goals & Financial Roadmap
Bot: Trading Bot v4 (Drift Protocol + TradingView v8 Signals)
Start Date: November 11, 2025
Starting Capital: $106 (Initial) → $540 (Current with deposits)
Primary Objective: Systematic wealth building through algorithmic trading
🎯 Vision: Multi-Phase Wealth Building
Initial Target: $100,000 (proof of concept)
Mid-term Target: $500,000 (financial freedom)
Long-term Target: $1,000,000+ (generational wealth)
Philosophy: Compound growth with risk reduction as capital scales. Start aggressive, end conservative.
📊 Phase Breakdown
Phase 1: Survival & Proof (Months 0-2.5)
Capital: $106 → $2,500
Strategy: Aggressive compounding with data-driven optimization
Withdrawals: $0 (reinvest everything)
Position Sizing: 100% → 20-25% of account
Leverage: 20x → 15x
Milestones:
- ✅ Week 0: $106 starting capital (Nov 11, 2025)
- ✅ Week 1: +$440 deposits → $546 total invested (Nov 19, 2025)
- 📊 Current: $540 USDC (small trading losses from initial testing)
- 🎯 Month 2.5: $2,500 account (4.6x growth from current)
Success Criteria:
- v6 signals prove profitable (60%+ win rate)
- ATR trailing stop captures runners properly
- No catastrophic drawdowns (>50% account loss)
Risk Level: 🔴 EXTREME (20x leverage, full position)
Phase 2: Cash Flow Foundation (Months 3-6)
Capital: $2,500 → $3,000-4,000
Strategy: Sustainable growth while funding life
Withdrawals: $300/month (start Month 3)
Position Sizing: 20-25% of account
Leverage: 10-15x
Milestones:
- Month 3: First $300 withdrawal (bills covered!)
- Month 4: Account stays above $2,500 despite withdrawals
- Month 6: Account grows to $3,500+ while taking $1,200 total
Success Criteria:
- Consistent 15-20% monthly returns
- Withdrawals don't inhibit growth
- Psychological comfort with system
Risk Level: 🟠 HIGH (15x leverage, significant position)
Phase 3: Momentum Building (Months 7-12)
Capital: $3,500 → $6,000-8,000
Strategy: Increase income, maintain growth
Withdrawals: $400-500/month
Position Sizing: 20-30% of account
Leverage: 10x
Milestones:
- Month 7: Increase withdrawal to $400-500
- Month 9: Account hits $5,000 (first major psychological barrier)
- Month 12: $6,000-8,000 account + $3,000-4,000 withdrawn total
Success Criteria:
- 10-15% monthly returns (easier with larger capital)
- Living expenses fully covered
- System runs mostly autonomous
Risk Level: 🟡 MODERATE (10x leverage, 25% position)
Phase 4: Acceleration (Year 2: Months 13-24)
Capital: $8,000 → $50,000
Strategy: Scale position size, reduce leverage
Withdrawals: $500-1,000/month
Position Sizing: 30-40% of account
Leverage: 5-10x
Milestones:
- Month 15: $10,000 account (100x initial capital!)
- Month 18: $20,000 account
- Month 21: $30,000 account
- Month 24: $50,000 account
Success Criteria:
- 8-12% monthly returns (sustainable at scale)
- $10,000+ withdrawn over the year
- Risk management becomes priority
Risk Level: 🟢 MODERATE-LOW (5-10x leverage, diversified positions)
Phase 5: The $100K Milestone (Months 25-30)
Capital: $50,000 → $100,000
Strategy: Capital preservation with growth
Withdrawals: $1,000-2,000/month
Position Sizing: 30-50% of account
Leverage: 3-5x
Milestones:
- Month 27: $75,000 account
- Month 30: $100,000 ACHIEVED 🎉
Success Criteria:
- 5-8% monthly returns (compounding does the work)
- Withdrawals become substantial ($12,000-24,000/year)
- System proven over 2.5 years
Risk Level: 🟢 LOW (3-5x leverage, conservative)
🚀 Beyond $100K: The Real Game Begins
Phase 6: Financial Freedom Territory ($100K → $500K)
Timeline: 12-18 months
Withdrawals: $2,000-5,000/month (covers all living + savings)
Strategy: Split capital - 50% aggressive growth, 50% income generation
Target Returns: 5-7% monthly (compounding to $500K)
Phase 7: Wealth Building ($500K → $1M+)
Timeline: 18-24 months
Withdrawals: $5,000-10,000/month (upgrade lifestyle)
Strategy: 70% conservative (3-5% monthly), 30% aggressive (10-15% monthly)
Endgame: Multiple income streams, true financial independence
Phase 8: Legacy Mode ($1M+)
Timeline: Indefinite
Withdrawals: Whatever you want
Strategy: Capital preservation + modest growth (3-5% monthly = $30K-50K/month)
Focus: Teaching system to others, retiring early, living free
📈 Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Trading Metrics:
- Win Rate Target: 60%+ (aggressive phases), 55%+ (conservative phases)
- Profit Factor: >1.5 consistently
- Average Win: 8-12% (TP1 + partial runner)
- Average Loss: -1.5% (stop loss)
- Monthly Return Target:
- Phases 1-2: 20-30% (aggressive)
- Phases 3-4: 10-15% (sustainable)
- Phases 5-6: 5-10% (conservative)
Risk Metrics:
- Max Drawdown: <30% at any phase
- Consecutive Losses: Stop trading after 3 in a row (review system)
- Daily Loss Limit: -10% of account (circuit breaker)
System Health:
- Signal Quality Score: Average >70 (Phase 1-2), >75 (Phase 3+)
- Rate Limit Hits: <5 per day (RPC health)
- Runner Capture Rate: >50% of MFE realized (ATR trailing working)
🛡️ Risk Management by Phase
| Phase | Leverage | Position Size | Max Risk/Trade | Max Daily Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | 15-20x | 20-100% | 30% | 50% |
| 3 | 10-15x | 20-25% | 15% | 30% |
| 4 | 10x | 25-30% | 10% | 20% |
| 5 | 5-10x | 30-40% | 8% | 15% |
| 6 | 3-5x | 30-50% | 5% | 10% |
| 7-8 | 3-5x | 50%+ | 3% | 5% |
💰 Cumulative Financial Goals
End of Year 1 (Month 12):
- Account: $6,000-8,000
- Total Withdrawn: $2,000-3,000
- Net Worth Impact: +$8,000-11,000 (from $106 start)
End of Year 2 (Month 24):
- Account: $50,000
- Total Withdrawn: $12,000-15,000
- Net Worth Impact: +$62,000-65,000
End of Year 3 (Month 36):
- Account: $100,000+
- Total Withdrawn: $30,000-50,000
- Net Worth Impact: +$130,000-150,000
End of Year 5:
- Account: $500,000-1,000,000
- Total Withdrawn: $100,000-200,000
- Net Worth Impact: $600,000-1,200,000
- Status: Financially Independent
🎯 Current Status
Date: November 19, 2025
Phase: 1 (Survival & Proof)
Account: $540 USDC (100% health, zero debt)
Total Invested: $546 ($106 initial + $440 deposits)
Trading P&L: -$6 (early testing with v6/v7 indicators)
Next Milestone: $1,000 account (1.85x from current)
Days Until First Withdrawal: ~60 days (Month 3 - Early January 2026)
Recent Improvements:
- ✅ v8 Money Line Sticky Trend deployed (0.6% flip threshold, anti-whipsaw)
- ✅ ATR-based TP/SL system (adaptive to volatility, regime-agnostic)
- ✅ ADX-based runner positioning (trend-strength adaptive SL)
- ✅ Multi-timeframe price tracking (15min/1H/4H/Daily data collection)
- ✅ Quality score increase to 81 (filters small chop trades)
- ✅ 60/40 TP1/Runner split (captures runners on strong trends)
- ✅ Automated MFE/MAE analysis (30-minute tracking per signal)
System Readiness: 🟢 PRODUCTION
Confidence Level: 🔥 VERY HIGH (v8 tested, multi-timeframe data collection active, capital growing)
📝 Rules of Engagement
The Non-Negotiables:
- Never skip the 2-month compound period (Phases 1-2)
- Always lower risk when account grows (follow phase guidelines)
- Stop trading after 3 consecutive losses (review system, don't revenge trade)
- Only trade signals with 70+ quality score (especially in Phase 1-2)
- Never increase leverage above phase max (greed kills accounts)
The Promises:
- Patience in Phase 1-2 (no withdrawals, let it compound)
- Discipline in Phase 3-5 (consistent withdrawals, no FOMO)
- Humility in Phase 6+ (protect capital, it's real money now)
The Vision:
This isn't just about $100K. This is about building a systematic income machine that:
- Pays for life expenses (Phase 3+)
- Builds wealth (Phase 5+)
- Creates legacy (Phase 8+)
- Proves algorithmic trading works when done right
🚨 Failure Modes & Contingencies
If Account Drops 50%+ in Phase 1-2:
- STOP trading immediately
- Review all losing trades (what went wrong?)
- Analyze signal quality scores (were they actually 70+?)
- Check v6 configuration (filters working?)
- Consider waiting for $1K deposit before resuming
If Win Rate <50% After 20 Trades:
- System may not be working as expected
- Review blocked signals vs executed signals
- Increase MIN_SIGNAL_QUALITY_SCORE to 75
- Reduce position size by 50%
If Can't Make Withdrawals in Phase 3:
- Lower withdrawal amount to $200/month
- Extend Phase 2 by 1-2 months
- Consider side income to reduce pressure
- Don't break the system by over-withdrawing
🎉 Success Celebrations
$500: First 5x - Pizza night
$1,000: 10x initial capital - Nice dinner out
$2,500: Phase 1 complete - Weekend trip
$5,000: Psychological barrier broken - New laptop/gear
$10,000: 100x initial capital - Week vacation
$25,000: Quarter of goal - Upgrade living situation
$50,000: Halfway to first target - Tell family about success
$100,000: FIRST MAJOR GOAL - Celebrate properly, then keep building
$500,000: Financial freedom achieved - Quit day job if desired
$1,000,000: Life changed forever - You made it
Remember: $100K is just the beginning. The real wealth comes from phases 6-8. Stay disciplined, trust the system, and let compound growth do the heavy lifting.
This isn't gambling. This is systematic wealth building with defined risk, clear milestones, and a proven edge.
Let's build something legendary. 🚀