Files
trading_bot_v4/lib/trading/signal-quality.ts
mindesbunister 4b11186d16 Fix: Add timeframe-aware signal quality scoring for 5min charts
PROBLEM:
- Long signal (ADX 15.7, ATR 0.35%) blocked with score 45/100
- Missed major +3% runup, lost -2 on short that didn't flip
- Scoring logic treated all timeframes identically (daily chart thresholds)

ROOT CAUSE:
- ADX < 18 always scored -15 points regardless of timeframe
- 5min charts naturally have lower ADX (12-22 healthy range)
- copilot-instructions mentioned timeframe awareness but wasn't implemented

FIX:
- Add timeframe parameter to RiskCheckRequest interface
- Update scoreSignalQuality() with timeframe-aware ADX thresholds:
  * 5min/15min: ADX 12-22 healthy (+5), <12 weak (-15), >22 strong (+15)
  * Higher TF: ADX 18-25 healthy (+5), <18 weak (-15), >25 strong (+15)
- Pass timeframe from n8n workflow through check-risk and execute
- Update both Check Risk nodes in Money Machine workflow

IMPACT:
Your blocked signal (ADX 15.7 on 5min) now scores:
- Was: 50 + 5 - 15 + 0 + 0 + 5 = 45 (BLOCKED)
- Now: 50 + 5 + 5 + 0 + 0 + 5 = 65 (PASSES)

This 20-point improvement from timeframe awareness would have caught the runup.
2025-11-10 07:34:21 +01:00

175 lines
5.7 KiB
TypeScript

/**
* Signal Quality Scoring
*
* Unified quality scoring logic used by both check-risk and execute endpoints.
* Ensures consistent scoring across the trading pipeline.
*/
export interface SignalQualityResult {
score: number
passed: boolean
reasons: string[]
}
/**
* Calculate signal quality score based on technical indicators
*
* Scoring breakdown:
* - Base: 50 points
* - ATR (volatility): -20 to +10 points
* - ADX (trend strength): -15 to +15 points
* - RSI (momentum): -10 to +10 points
* - Volume: -10 to +15 points
* - Price position: -15 to +5 points
* - Volume breakout bonus: +10 points
*
* Total range: ~15-115 points (realistically 30-100)
* Threshold: 60 points minimum for execution
*
* TIMEFRAME-AWARE SCORING:
* - 5min charts have lower ADX/ATR thresholds (trends develop slower)
* - Higher timeframes require stronger confirmation
*/
export function scoreSignalQuality(params: {
atr: number
adx: number
rsi: number
volumeRatio: number
pricePosition: number
direction: 'long' | 'short'
timeframe?: string // "5" = 5min, "15" = 15min, "60" = 1H, "D" = daily
minScore?: number // Configurable minimum score threshold
}): SignalQualityResult {
let score = 50 // Base score
const reasons: string[] = []
// Determine if this is a short timeframe (5min, 15min)
const is5minChart = params.timeframe === '5'
const is15minChart = params.timeframe === '15'
const isShortTimeframe = is5minChart || is15minChart
// ATR check (volatility gate: 0.15% - 2.5%)
if (params.atr > 0) {
if (params.atr < 0.15) {
score -= 15
reasons.push(`ATR too low (${params.atr.toFixed(2)}% - dead market)`)
} else if (params.atr > 2.5) {
score -= 20
reasons.push(`ATR too high (${params.atr.toFixed(2)}% - too volatile)`)
} else if (params.atr >= 0.15 && params.atr < 0.4) {
score += 5
reasons.push(`ATR moderate (${params.atr.toFixed(2)}%)`)
} else {
score += 10
reasons.push(`ATR healthy (${params.atr.toFixed(2)}%)`)
}
}
// ADX check - TIMEFRAME AWARE (trend strength)
// 5min/15min: 12-22 is healthy (trends develop slower)
// 1H+: 18+ is healthy (stronger trends expected)
if (params.adx > 0) {
if (isShortTimeframe) {
// 5min/15min thresholds
if (params.adx > 22) {
score += 15
reasons.push(`Strong trend for ${params.timeframe}min (ADX ${params.adx.toFixed(1)})`)
} else if (params.adx < 12) {
score -= 15
reasons.push(`Weak trend for ${params.timeframe}min (ADX ${params.adx.toFixed(1)})`)
} else {
score += 5
reasons.push(`Moderate trend for ${params.timeframe}min (ADX ${params.adx.toFixed(1)})`)
}
} else {
// Higher timeframe thresholds (1H, 4H, D)
if (params.adx > 25) {
score += 15
reasons.push(`Strong trend (ADX ${params.adx.toFixed(1)})`)
} else if (params.adx < 18) {
score -= 15
reasons.push(`Weak trend (ADX ${params.adx.toFixed(1)})`)
} else {
score += 5
reasons.push(`Moderate trend (ADX ${params.adx.toFixed(1)})`)
}
}
}
// RSI check (momentum confirmation)
if (params.rsi > 0) {
if (params.direction === 'long') {
if (params.rsi > 50 && params.rsi < 70) {
score += 10
reasons.push(`RSI supports long (${params.rsi.toFixed(1)})`)
} else if (params.rsi > 70) {
score -= 10
reasons.push(`RSI overbought (${params.rsi.toFixed(1)})`)
}
} else { // short
if (params.rsi < 50 && params.rsi > 30) {
score += 10
reasons.push(`RSI supports short (${params.rsi.toFixed(1)})`)
} else if (params.rsi < 30) {
score -= 10
reasons.push(`RSI oversold (${params.rsi.toFixed(1)})`)
}
}
}
// Volume check (want > 1.0 = above average)
if (params.volumeRatio > 0) {
if (params.volumeRatio > 1.5) {
score += 15
reasons.push(`Very strong volume (${params.volumeRatio.toFixed(2)}x avg)`)
} else if (params.volumeRatio > 1.2) {
score += 10
reasons.push(`Strong volume (${params.volumeRatio.toFixed(2)}x avg)`)
} else if (params.volumeRatio < 0.8) {
score -= 10
reasons.push(`Weak volume (${params.volumeRatio.toFixed(2)}x avg)`)
}
}
// Price position check (avoid chasing vs breakout detection)
if (params.pricePosition > 0) {
if (params.direction === 'long' && params.pricePosition > 95) {
// High volume breakout at range top can be good
if (params.volumeRatio > 1.4) {
score += 5
reasons.push(`Volume breakout at range top (${params.pricePosition.toFixed(0)}%, vol ${params.volumeRatio.toFixed(2)}x)`)
} else {
score -= 15
reasons.push(`Price near top of range (${params.pricePosition.toFixed(0)}%) - risky long`)
}
} else if (params.direction === 'short' && params.pricePosition < 5) {
// High volume breakdown at range bottom can be good
if (params.volumeRatio > 1.4) {
score += 5
reasons.push(`Volume breakdown at range bottom (${params.pricePosition.toFixed(0)}%, vol ${params.volumeRatio.toFixed(2)}x)`)
} else {
score -= 15
reasons.push(`Price near bottom of range (${params.pricePosition.toFixed(0)}%) - risky short`)
}
} else {
score += 5
reasons.push(`Price position OK (${params.pricePosition.toFixed(0)}%)`)
}
}
// Volume breakout bonus (high volume can override other weaknesses)
if (params.volumeRatio > 1.8 && params.atr < 0.6) {
score += 10
reasons.push(`Volume breakout compensates for low ATR`)
}
const minScore = params.minScore || 60
const passed = score >= minScore
return {
score,
passed,
reasons,
}
}