- Removed v10 TradingView indicator (moneyline_v10_momentum_dots.pinescript) - Removed v10 penalty system from signal-quality.ts (-30/-25 point penalties) - Removed backtest result files (sweep_*.csv) - Updated copilot-instructions.md to remove v10 references - Simplified direction-specific quality thresholds (LONG 90+, SHORT 80+) Rationale: - 1,944 parameter combinations tested in backtest - All top results IDENTICAL (568 trades, $498 P&L, 61.09% WR) - Momentum parameters had ZERO impact on trade selection - Profit factor 1.027 too low (barely profitable after fees) - Max drawdown -$1,270 vs +$498 profit = terrible risk-reward - v10 penalties were blocking good trades (bug: applied to wrong positions) Keeping v9 as production system - simpler, proven, effective.
3.8 KiB
3.8 KiB
Backtester Status (Dec 2025)
Current Scope
- Python package under
backtester/(isolated from trading bot) - CSV loader (
data_loader.py) validates OHLCV inputs with timestamp filtering - Math utilities (
math_utils.py) implement RMA, ATR, ADX helpers - Money Line indicator module (
indicators/money_line.py) provides:- Configurable inputs for v9/v10 parity (
MoneyLineInputsdataclass) - Primary + momentum signal detection (flip threshold, MA gap, ADX/volume filters)
- Output
MoneyLineSignalrecords with full metric context
- Configurable inputs for v9/v10 parity (
- Strategy simulator (
simulator.py) that consumes OHLCV data + indicator signals and reproduces the ATR-based TP1/TP2 runner logic (including ADX runner stops, trailing stop, MAE/MFE tracking, and placeholder quality filters) - Command-line runner (
cli.py) to execute quick tests against CSV data, print performance stats, and export trade logs - Binance OHLC exporter (
scripts/export_binance_ohlcv.py) for refreshing SOL/USDT candle sets straight from the public REST API
Next Steps
- Wire production quality scoring + adaptive leverage gating into the simulator so backtests align with live trade filters
- Build batching utilities for multi-symbol / multi-parameter sweeps and persist the results to CSV/Parquet for analysis
- Compare Binance-derived backtests vs. Drift trade history to calibrate slippage/latency assumptions
- Extend CLI to accept saved indicator scores from the database once we export them (blocked signals, 1m data feed)
Simulator Plan
- Core engine (
backtester/simulator.py): iterate through OHLCV rows, feed them to the Money Line indicator, and execute trades using the same ATR TP1/TP2 runner + adaptive leverage stack used in production. - Position model: store entry price, size, ATR snapshot, TP1/TP2 levels, runner state, and MAE/MFE tracking so analytics match the bot’s database fields.
- Execution hooks: reuse config helpers (quality scoring thresholds, adaptive leverage tiers) to determine whether signals become trades, ensuring apples-to-apples results for v9 vs v10.
- Metrics output: aggregate PnL, win rate, profit factor, MAE/MFE distributions, and per-parameter summaries so sweeps can compare settings quickly.
- Parameter sweeps: now that the simulator is deterministic, the remaining work is orchestration (CLI wrapper + reporting) so we can explore grids quickly.
Data Acquisition
- Use the helper script to pull candles (example grabs ~4 months of SOL/USDT 5m bars):
source .venv/bin/activate
python scripts/export_binance_ohlcv.py \
--symbol SOLUSDT \
--interval 5m \
--start 2025-08-01 \
--end 2025-11-28 \
--output data/solusdt_5m.csv
- The script paginates Binance’s REST API (1000-candle chunks), pauses between requests to respect rate limits, and writes timestamped OHLCV columns that
backtester.data_loaderalready expects. - Re-run the export whenever we want fresh data; adjust
--start/--endto widen the window or target different regimes.
CLI Usage
Run a standalone backtest from the project root:
python -m backtester.cli \
--csv data/solusdt_5m.csv \
--symbol SOL-PERP \
--timeframe 5 \
--start 2025-09-01 \
--end 2025-09-30 \
--position-size 2500 \
--max-bars 300 \
--export-trades results/sol_sep.csv
The script uses the CSV loader (timestamped OHLCV data), Money Line indicator defaults, and simulator to print summary metrics. Exported CSVs contain per-trade fields (entry/exit, PnL, TP flags, MAE/MFE) for further analysis.
Notes
- Package intentionally avoids dependencies beyond pandas/numpy for portability
- No trading bot files modified; all work lives under
backtester/ - Update this document as modules (scoring, simulator, reporting) come online; immediate next edits should cover quality filters + sweep tooling once implemented.