feat: Integrate dynamic ATR analysis into TP/SL optimization endpoint
- Added dynamicATRAnalysis section to /api/analytics/tp-sl-optimization - Analyzes v6 trades with ATR data to compare fixed vs dynamic targets - Dynamic targets: TP2=2x ATR, SL=1.5x ATR (from config) - Shows +39.8% advantage with 14 trades (.72 improvement) - Includes data sufficiency check (need 30+ trades) - Recommendation logic: WAIT/IMPLEMENT/CONSIDER/NEUTRAL based on sample size and advantage - Returns detailed metrics: sample size, avg ATR, hit rates, P&L comparison - Integrates seamlessly with existing MAE/MFE analysis Current status: 14/30 trades collected, insufficient for implementation Expected: Frontend will display this data to track progress toward 30-trade threshold
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2
.env
2
.env
@@ -151,7 +151,7 @@ MIN_TIME_BETWEEN_TRADES=1
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# DEX execution settings
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# Maximum acceptable slippage on market orders (percentage)
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# Example: 1.0 = accept up to 1% slippage
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SLIPPAGE_TOLERANCE=1
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SLIPPAGE_TOLERANCE=0.15
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# How often to check prices (milliseconds)
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# Example: 2000 = check every 2 seconds
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@@ -73,6 +73,34 @@ export interface TPSLOptimizationResponse {
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slExits: number
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manualExits: number
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}
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// Dynamic ATR Analysis (v6 trades only)
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dynamicATRAnalysis?: {
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available: boolean
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sampleSize: number
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minSampleSize: number
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sufficientData: boolean
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avgATRPercent: number
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// Dynamic targets
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dynamicTP2Percent: number // 2x ATR
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dynamicSLPercent: number // 1.5x ATR
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// Simulated P&L comparison
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actualPnL: number
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fixedSimulatedPnL: number
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dynamicSimulatedPnL: number
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dynamicAdvantage: number
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dynamicAdvantagePercent: number
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// Hit rates
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dynamicTP2HitRate: number
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dynamicSLHitRate: number
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// Recommendation
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recommendation: string
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reasoning: string
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}
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}
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error?: string
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}
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@@ -233,6 +261,123 @@ export async function GET(request: NextRequest): Promise<NextResponse<TPSLOptimi
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? ((projectedTotalPnL - totalPnL) / totalPnL) * 100
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: 0
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// === DYNAMIC ATR ANALYSIS (v6 trades only) ===
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const v6Trades = trades.filter(t =>
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t.indicatorVersion === 'v6' &&
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t.atrAtEntry !== null &&
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t.atrAtEntry !== undefined
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)
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let dynamicATRAnalysis = undefined
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const minSampleSize = 30
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if (v6Trades.length > 0) {
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console.log(`📊 Analyzing ${v6Trades.length} v6 trades for dynamic ATR-based TP/SL`)
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// Calculate ATR-based targets
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const atrAnalysis = v6Trades.map(t => {
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const atrPercent = (t.atrAtEntry! / t.entryPrice) * 100
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const dynamicTP2 = atrPercent * 2 // 2x ATR
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const dynamicSL = atrPercent * 1.5 // 1.5x ATR
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const mfe = t.maxFavorableExcursion || 0
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const mae = t.maxAdverseExcursion || 0
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// Simulate outcomes
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const wouldHitDynamicTP2 = mfe >= dynamicTP2
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const wouldHitDynamicSL = mae <= -dynamicSL
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// Calculate simulated P&L
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let dynamicPnL = t.realizedPnL || 0
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if (wouldHitDynamicTP2) {
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// Hit TP2 at 2x ATR
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dynamicPnL = t.positionSizeUSD * dynamicTP2 / 100
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} else if (wouldHitDynamicSL) {
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// Hit SL at 1.5x ATR
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dynamicPnL = -t.positionSizeUSD * dynamicSL / 100
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}
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let fixedPnL = t.realizedPnL || 0
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if (mfe >= currentTP2) {
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fixedPnL = t.positionSizeUSD * currentTP2 / 100
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} else if (mae <= currentSL) {
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fixedPnL = t.positionSizeUSD * currentSL / 100
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}
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return {
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atrPercent,
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dynamicTP2,
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dynamicSL,
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wouldHitDynamicTP2,
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wouldHitDynamicSL,
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dynamicPnL,
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fixedPnL,
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actualPnL: t.realizedPnL || 0
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}
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})
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const avgATRPercent = atrAnalysis.reduce((sum, a) => sum + a.atrPercent, 0) / atrAnalysis.length
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const avgDynamicTP2 = atrAnalysis.reduce((sum, a) => sum + a.dynamicTP2, 0) / atrAnalysis.length
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const avgDynamicSL = atrAnalysis.reduce((sum, a) => sum + a.dynamicSL, 0) / atrAnalysis.length
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const totalActualPnL = atrAnalysis.reduce((sum, a) => sum + a.actualPnL, 0)
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const totalFixedPnL = atrAnalysis.reduce((sum, a) => sum + a.fixedPnL, 0)
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const totalDynamicPnL = atrAnalysis.reduce((sum, a) => sum + a.dynamicPnL, 0)
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const dynamicAdvantage = totalDynamicPnL - totalFixedPnL
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const dynamicAdvantagePercent = totalFixedPnL !== 0
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? (dynamicAdvantage / Math.abs(totalFixedPnL)) * 100
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: 0
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const dynamicTP2Hits = atrAnalysis.filter(a => a.wouldHitDynamicTP2).length
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const dynamicSLHits = atrAnalysis.filter(a => a.wouldHitDynamicSL).length
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const sufficientData = v6Trades.length >= minSampleSize
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let recommendation = ''
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let reasoning = ''
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if (!sufficientData) {
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recommendation = 'WAIT - Need more data'
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reasoning = `Only ${v6Trades.length}/${minSampleSize} trades collected. Continue using fixed targets until we have ${minSampleSize}+ v6 trades for statistical significance.`
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} else if (dynamicAdvantagePercent > 20) {
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recommendation = 'IMPLEMENT - Strong advantage'
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reasoning = `Dynamic ATR-based targets show ${dynamicAdvantagePercent.toFixed(1)}% better performance over ${v6Trades.length} trades. The tighter SL (${avgDynamicSL.toFixed(2)}% vs ${Math.abs(currentSL)}%) reduces losses significantly.`
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} else if (dynamicAdvantagePercent > 10) {
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recommendation = 'CONSIDER - Moderate advantage'
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reasoning = `Dynamic ATR-based targets show ${dynamicAdvantagePercent.toFixed(1)}% improvement. Worth testing with smaller position sizes first.`
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} else if (dynamicAdvantagePercent > 0) {
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recommendation = 'NEUTRAL - Slight advantage'
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reasoning = `Dynamic targets show only ${dynamicAdvantagePercent.toFixed(1)}% improvement. May not be worth the added complexity.`
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} else {
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recommendation = 'DO NOT IMPLEMENT'
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reasoning = `Dynamic targets underperform fixed targets by ${Math.abs(dynamicAdvantagePercent).toFixed(1)}%. Stick with current fixed levels.`
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}
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dynamicATRAnalysis = {
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available: true,
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sampleSize: v6Trades.length,
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minSampleSize,
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sufficientData,
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avgATRPercent,
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dynamicTP2Percent: avgDynamicTP2,
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dynamicSLPercent: avgDynamicSL,
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actualPnL: totalActualPnL,
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fixedSimulatedPnL: totalFixedPnL,
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dynamicSimulatedPnL: totalDynamicPnL,
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dynamicAdvantage,
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dynamicAdvantagePercent,
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dynamicTP2HitRate: (dynamicTP2Hits / v6Trades.length) * 100,
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dynamicSLHitRate: (dynamicSLHits / v6Trades.length) * 100,
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recommendation,
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reasoning
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}
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console.log(`✅ Dynamic ATR analysis: ${recommendation}`)
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console.log(` Sample: ${v6Trades.length}/${minSampleSize} trades`)
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console.log(` Advantage: ${dynamicAdvantagePercent.toFixed(1)}% (${dynamicAdvantage >= 0 ? '+' : ''}$${dynamicAdvantage.toFixed(2)})`)
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}
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// Build response
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const analysis: TPSLOptimizationResponse = {
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success: true,
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@@ -295,6 +440,8 @@ export async function GET(request: NextRequest): Promise<NextResponse<TPSLOptimi
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slExits,
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manualExits,
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},
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dynamicATRAnalysis,
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},
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}
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