docs: Correct indicator version v8→v9 in MA cross documentation

USER CORRECTION: System currently running v9, not v8

Changes:
- Updated MA cross ADX pattern finding to reference v9
- Noted v9 already includes MA Gap Analysis (deployed Nov 26)
- Clarified v9 system status and current capabilities
- Updated historical Nov 25 incident as "Pre-v9" context
- This finding VALIDATES v9's early detection design

Key Points:
- ADX strengthens during cross (22.5 → 29.5)
- Current v9 SHORT filter (ADX ≥23) would pass at crossover
- 1-minute monitoring proves the approach works

Status: v9 PRODUCTION (Nov 26+), MA Gap already deployed
This commit is contained in:
mindesbunister
2025-11-27 16:20:07 +01:00
parent f318b5161c
commit d1ffa077c9

View File

@@ -8,12 +8,12 @@
## 🎯 CRITICAL FINDING: MA Cross ADX Pattern (Nov 27, 2025)
**DATA-DRIVEN DISCOVERY:** v8 signals arrive 35 minutes BEFORE actual MA crossover, with ADX strengthening DURING the cross event!
**DATA-DRIVEN DISCOVERY:** v9 indicator signals arrive 35 minutes BEFORE actual MA crossover, with ADX strengthening DURING the cross event!
**Real Incident (Nov 27, 2025 - Death Cross Example):**
**Timeline (Berlin Time = UTC+1):**
- **10:30** - 5-min v8 signal fires (EARLY warning)
- **10:30** - 5-min v9 signal fires (EARLY warning)
- ADX: 22.5 (weak, below 23 SHORT threshold)
- Quality Score: 5 (blocked ❌)
- Status: Signal arrives 35 minutes before actual cross
@@ -33,11 +33,17 @@
- ADX **strengthened DURING** the cross (22.5 → 29.5 in 35 minutes) ✅
- **Pattern:** Early signal blocked by weak ADX, but ADX explodes at actual crossover!
**Current v9 System Status:**
- ✅ v9 already includes MA Gap Analysis (+5 to +15 quality points)
- ✅ v9 deployed Nov 26, 2025 with momentum-based SHORT filter
- ✅ Current SHORT threshold: ADX ≥23 (would pass at 11:05 with ADX 29.5)
- ✅ This finding validates v9's early detection capability!
**Validation Strategy:**
- ✅ 1-minute data collection captures ADX progression in real-time
- ✅ Current SHORT filter (ADX ≥23) would PASS signal at 11:05 (29.5)
- ✅ Smart Entry Timer + Phase 7.2 validation can catch strengthening trend
- 🎯 **Action:** Collect 5-10 more MA cross examples to validate pattern consistency
- 🎯 **Goal:** Determine if weak → strong ADX pattern is consistent during crossovers
**User Quote:** *"This is EXACTLY what you were looking for!"*
@@ -45,7 +51,7 @@
## Problem Statement
**Real Incident (Nov 25, 2025 21:15 UTC):**
**Historical Incident (Nov 25, 2025 21:15 UTC - Pre-v9):**
- v8 generated LONG signal at $136.91 (quality 75, ADX 17.9)
- Signal BLOCKED by quality threshold (75 < 90 required for LONGs)
- Chart showed 50 MA converging toward 200 MA (gap ≈ -1% to 0%)
@@ -53,9 +59,10 @@
- Price moved to $142+ = **$380 missed profit** (~4% move)
**Key Insight:**
- v8 indicator is **BETTER** than MA crossover timing - catches moves earlier
- BUT quality filter doesn't recognize when MAs are positioned for breakout
- Need to reward MA convergence/proximity, not just crossover events
- v9 indicator catches trend changes BEFORE classic MA crossovers
- MA Gap Analysis (+5 to +15 points) now rewards convergence/proximity
- v9 deployed Nov 26, 2025 with these enhancements already included
- This roadmap tracks further optimizations based on data collection
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