Critical finding from 7 v8 trades analysis: - ALL 4 winners: quality ≥95 (95, 95, 100, 105) - ALL 3 losers: quality ≤90 (80, 90, 90) - Perfect separation validates 91 threshold decision - Would have prevented 100% of losses (-$624.90 total) Updated: - SIGNAL_QUALITY_SETUP_GUIDE.md (overview + threshold history) - SIGNAL_QUALITY_OPTIMIZATION_ROADMAP.md (current system) - BLOCKED_SIGNALS_TRACKING.md (quality score analysis) - .github/copilot-instructions.md (data validation sections) This proves 91 is data-driven optimal, not too strict.
390 lines
12 KiB
Markdown
390 lines
12 KiB
Markdown
# Signal Quality Scoring System - Setup Guide
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## Overview
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The signal quality scoring system evaluates every trade signal based on 5 market context metrics before execution. Signals scoring below 91/100 are automatically blocked. This prevents overtrading and filters out low-quality setups.
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**Threshold History:**
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- Nov 21 morning: Raised to 81 after v8 initial success (94.2 avg quality, 66.7% WR)
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- Nov 21 evening: Raised to 91 after trade #7 loss (ADX 19.0, quality 90, -$387)
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**Data Validation (7 v8 trades):**
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Perfect quality score separation validates 91 threshold:
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- **ALL 4 winners:** Quality ≥95 (scores: 95, 95, 100, 105) ✅
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- **ALL 3 losers:** Quality ≤90 (scores: 80, 90, 90) ❌
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- **Conclusion:** 91 threshold would have prevented 100% of losses (-$624.90 total)
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## ✅ Completed Components
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### 1. TradingView Indicator ✅
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- **File:** `workflows/trading/moneyline_v5_final.pinescript`
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- **Status:** Complete and tested
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- **Metrics sent:** ATR%, ADX, RSI, Volume Ratio, Price Position
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- **Alert format:** `SOL buy .P 15 | ATR:1.85 | ADX:28.3 | RSI:62.5 | VOL:1.45 | POS:75.3`
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### 2. n8n Parse Signal Enhanced ✅
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- **File:** `workflows/trading/parse_signal_enhanced.json`
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- **Status:** Complete and tested
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- **Function:** Extracts 5 context metrics from alert messages
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- **Backward compatible:** Works with old format (metrics default to 0)
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### 3. Trading Bot API ✅
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- **check-risk endpoint:** Scores signals 0-100, blocks if <60
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- **execute endpoint:** Stores context metrics in database
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- **Database schema:** Updated with 5 new fields
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- **Status:** Built, deployed, running
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## 📋 n8n Workflow Update Instructions
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### Step 1: Import Parse Signal Enhanced Node
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1. Open n8n workflow editor
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2. Go to "Money Machine" workflow
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3. Click the "+" icon to add a new node
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4. Select "Code" → "Import from file"
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5. Import: `/home/icke/traderv4/workflows/trading/parse_signal_enhanced.json`
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### Step 2: Replace Old Parse Signal Node
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**Old Node (lines 23-52 in Money_Machine.json):**
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```json
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{
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"parameters": {
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"fields": {
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"values": [
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{
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"name": "rawMessage",
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"stringValue": "={{ $json.body }}"
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},
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{
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"name": "symbol",
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"stringValue": "={{ $json.body.match(/\\bSOL\\b/i) ? 'SOL-PERP' : ... }}"
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},
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{
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"name": "direction",
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"stringValue": "={{ $json.body.match(/\\b(sell|short)\\b/i) ? 'short' : 'long' }}"
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},
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{
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"name": "timeframe",
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"stringValue": "={{ $json.body.match(/\\.P\\s+(\\d+)/)?.[1] || '15' }}"
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}
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]
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}
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},
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"name": "Parse Signal",
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"type": "n8n-nodes-base.set"
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}
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```
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**New Node (Parse Signal Enhanced):**
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- Extracts: symbol, direction, timeframe (same as before)
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- NEW: Also extracts ATR, ADX, RSI, volumeRatio, pricePosition
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- Place after the "Webhook" node
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- Connect: Webhook → Parse Signal Enhanced → 15min Chart Only?
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### Step 3: Update Check Risk Node
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**Current jsonBody (line 103):**
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```json
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{
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"symbol": "{{ $json.symbol }}",
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"direction": "{{ $json.direction }}"
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}
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```
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**Updated jsonBody (add 5 context metrics):**
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```json
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{
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"symbol": "{{ $json.symbol }}",
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"direction": "{{ $json.direction }}",
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"atr": {{ $json.atr || 0 }},
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"adx": {{ $json.adx || 0 }},
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"rsi": {{ $json.rsi || 0 }},
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"volumeRatio": {{ $json.volumeRatio || 0 }},
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"pricePosition": {{ $json.pricePosition || 0 }}
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}
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```
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### Step 4: Update Execute Trade Node
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**Current jsonBody (line 157):**
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```json
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{
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"symbol": "{{ $('Parse Signal').item.json.symbol }}",
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"direction": "{{ $('Parse Signal').item.json.direction }}",
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"timeframe": "{{ $('Parse Signal').item.json.timeframe }}",
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"signalStrength": "strong"
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}
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```
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**Updated jsonBody (add 5 context metrics):**
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```json
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{
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"symbol": "{{ $('Parse Signal Enhanced').item.json.symbol }}",
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"direction": "{{ $('Parse Signal Enhanced').item.json.direction }}",
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"timeframe": "{{ $('Parse Signal Enhanced').item.json.timeframe }}",
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"signalStrength": "strong",
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"atr": {{ $('Parse Signal Enhanced').item.json.atr || 0 }},
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"adx": {{ $('Parse Signal Enhanced').item.json.adx || 0 }},
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"rsi": {{ $('Parse Signal Enhanced').item.json.rsi || 0 }},
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"volumeRatio": {{ $('Parse Signal Enhanced').item.json.volumeRatio || 0 }},
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"pricePosition": {{ $('Parse Signal Enhanced').item.json.pricePosition || 0 }}
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}
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```
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### Step 5: Update Telegram Notification (Optional)
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You can add quality score to Telegram messages:
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**Current message template (line 200):**
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```
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🟢 TRADE OPENED
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📊 Symbol: ${symbol}
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📈 Direction: ${direction}
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...
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```
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**Enhanced message template:**
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```
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🟢 TRADE OPENED
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📊 Symbol: ${symbol}
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📈 Direction: ${direction}
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🎯 Quality Score: ${$('Check Risk').item.json.qualityScore || 'N/A'}/100
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...
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```
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## 🧪 Testing Instructions
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### Test 1: High-Quality Signal (Should Execute)
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Send webhook:
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```bash
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curl -X POST http://localhost:5678/webhook/tradingview-bot-v4 \
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-H "Content-Type: application/json" \
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-d '{"body": "SOL buy .P 15 | ATR:1.85 | ADX:32.3 | RSI:58.5 | VOL:1.65 | POS:45.3"}'
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```
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**Expected:**
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- Parse Signal Enhanced extracts all 5 metrics
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- Check Risk calculates quality score ~80/100
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- Check Risk returns `passed: true`
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- Execute Trade runs and stores metrics in database
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- Telegram notification sent
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### Test 2: Low-Quality Signal (Should Block)
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Send webhook:
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```bash
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curl -X POST http://localhost:5678/webhook/tradingview-bot-v4 \
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-H "Content-Type: application/json" \
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-d '{"body": "SOL buy .P 15 | ATR:0.35 | ADX:12.8 | RSI:78.5 | VOL:0.45 | POS:92.1"}'
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```
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**Expected:**
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- Parse Signal Enhanced extracts all 5 metrics
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- Check Risk calculates quality score ~20/100
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- Check Risk returns `passed: false, reason: "Signal quality too low (20/100). Issues: ATR too low (chop/low volatility), Weak/no trend (ADX), RSI extreme vs direction, Volume too low, Chasing (long near range top)"`
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- Execute Trade does NOT run
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- Telegram error notification sent
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### Test 3: Backward Compatibility (Should Execute)
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Send old format without metrics:
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```bash
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curl -X POST http://localhost:5678/webhook/tradingview-bot-v4 \
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-H "Content-Type: application/json" \
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-d '{"body": "SOL buy .P 15"}'
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```
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**Expected:**
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- Parse Signal Enhanced extracts symbol/direction/timeframe, metrics default to 0
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- Check Risk skips quality scoring (ATR=0 means no metrics)
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- Check Risk returns `passed: true` (only checks risk limits)
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- Execute Trade runs with null metrics
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- Backward compatible
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## 📊 Scoring Logic
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### Scoring Breakdown (Base: 50 points)
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1. **ATR Check** (-15 to +10 points)
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- ATR < 0.6%: -15 (choppy/low volatility)
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- ATR > 2.5%: -20 (extreme volatility)
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- 0.6-2.5%: +10 (healthy)
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2. **ADX Check** (-15 to +15 points)
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- ADX > 25: +15 (strong trend)
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- ADX 18-25: +5 (moderate trend)
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- ADX < 18: -15 (weak/no trend)
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3. **RSI Check** (-10 to +10 points)
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- Long + RSI > 50: +10 (momentum supports)
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- Long + RSI < 30: -10 (extreme oversold)
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- Short + RSI < 50: +10 (momentum supports)
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- Short + RSI > 70: -10 (extreme overbought)
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4. **Volume Check** (-10 to +10 points)
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- Volume > 1.2x avg: +10 (strong participation)
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- Volume < 0.8x avg: -10 (low participation)
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- 0.8-1.2x avg: 0 (neutral)
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5. **Price Position Check** (-15 to +5 points)
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- Long at range top (>80%): -15 (chasing)
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- Short at range bottom (<20%): -15 (chasing)
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- Otherwise: +5 (good position)
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**Minimum Passing Score:** 60/100
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### Example Scores
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**Perfect Setup (Score: 90):**
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- ATR: 1.5% (+10)
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- ADX: 32 (+15)
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- RSI: 58 (long) (+10)
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- Volume: 1.8x (+10)
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- Price: 45% (+5)
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- **Total:** 50 + 10 + 15 + 10 + 10 + 5 = 90
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**Terrible Setup (Score: 20):**
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- ATR: 0.3% (-15)
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- ADX: 12 (-15)
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- RSI: 78 (long) (-10)
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- Volume: 0.5x (-10)
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- Price: 92% (-15)
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- **Total:** 50 - 15 - 15 - 10 - 10 - 15 = -5 → Clamped to 0
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## 🔍 Monitoring
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### Check Logs
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Watch check-risk decisions:
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```bash
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docker logs trading-bot-v4 --tail 100 -f | grep "Signal quality"
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```
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Example output:
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```
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✅ Signal quality: 75/100 - HIGH QUALITY
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🎯 Quality reasons: Strong trend (ADX: 32.3), Healthy volatility (ATR: 1.85%), Good volume (1.65x avg), RSI supports direction (58.5), Good entry position (45.3%)
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```
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```
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❌ Signal quality: 35/100 - TOO LOW (minimum: 60)
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⚠️ Quality reasons: Weak/no trend (ADX: 12.8), ATR too low (chop/low volatility), RSI extreme vs direction, Volume too low, Chasing (long near range top)
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```
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### Database Query
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Check stored metrics:
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```sql
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SELECT
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symbol,
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direction,
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entryPrice,
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atrAtEntry,
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adxAtEntry,
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rsiAtEntry,
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volumeAtEntry,
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pricePositionAtEntry,
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realizedPnL
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FROM "Trade"
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WHERE createdAt > NOW() - INTERVAL '7 days'
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ORDER BY createdAt DESC;
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```
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## 🎛️ Tuning Parameters
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All scoring thresholds are in `app/api/trading/check-risk/route.ts` (lines 210-320):
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```typescript
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// ATR thresholds
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if (atr < 0.6) points -= 15 // Too low
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if (atr > 2.5) points -= 20 // Too high
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// ADX thresholds
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if (adx > 25) points += 15 // Strong trend
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if (adx < 18) points -= 15 // Weak trend
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// Minimum passing score
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if (score < 60) {
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return { passed: false, ... }
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}
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```
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Adjust these based on backtesting results. For example:
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- If too many good trades blocked: Lower minimum score to 50
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- If still overtrading: Increase ADX threshold to 30
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- For different assets: Adjust ATR ranges (crypto vs stocks)
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## 📈 Next Steps
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1. **Deploy to Production:**
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- Update n8n workflow (Steps 1-5 above)
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- Test with both formats
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- Monitor logs for quality decisions
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2. **Collect Data:**
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- Run for 2 weeks to gather quality scores
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- Analyze correlation: quality score vs P&L
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- Identify which metrics matter most
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3. **Optimize:**
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- Query database: `SELECT AVG(realizedPnL) FROM Trade WHERE adxAtEntry > 25`
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- Fine-tune thresholds based on results
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- Consider dynamic scoring (different weights per symbol/timeframe)
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4. **Future Enhancements:**
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- Add more metrics (spread, funding rate, correlation)
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- Machine learning: Train on historical trades
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- Per-asset scoring models
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- Signal source scoring (TradingView vs manual)
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## 🚨 Troubleshooting
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**Problem:** All signals blocked
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- Check logs: `docker logs trading-bot-v4 | grep "quality"`
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- Likely: TradingView not sending metrics (verify alert format)
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- Workaround: Temporarily lower minimum score to 40
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**Problem:** No metrics in database
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- Check Parse Signal Enhanced extracted metrics: View n8n execution
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- Verify Check Risk received metrics: `curl localhost:3001/api/trading/check-risk` with test data
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- Check execute endpoint logs: Should show "Context metrics: ATR:..."
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**Problem:** Metrics always 0
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- TradingView alert not using enhanced indicator
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- Parse Signal Enhanced regex not matching
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- Test parsing: `node -e "console.log('SOL buy .P 15 | ATR:1.85'.match(/ATR:([\d.]+)/))"`
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## 📝 Files Modified
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- ✅ `workflows/trading/moneyline_v5_final.pinescript` - Enhanced indicator
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- ✅ `workflows/trading/parse_signal_enhanced.json` - n8n parser
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- ✅ `app/api/trading/check-risk/route.ts` - Quality scoring
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- ✅ `app/api/trading/execute/route.ts` - Store metrics
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- ✅ `lib/database/trades.ts` - Updated interface
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- ✅ `prisma/schema.prisma` - Added 5 fields
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- ✅ `prisma/migrations/...add_rsi_and_price_position_metrics/` - Migration
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- ⏳ `workflows/trading/Money_Machine.json` - Manual update needed
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## 🎯 Success Criteria
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Signal quality scoring is working correctly when:
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1. ✅ TradingView sends alerts with metrics
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2. ✅ n8n Parse Signal Enhanced extracts all 5 metrics
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3. ✅ Check Risk calculates quality score 0-100
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4. ✅ Low-quality signals (<60) are blocked with reasons
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5. ✅ High-quality signals (>60) execute normally
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6. ✅ Context metrics stored in database for every trade
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7. ✅ Backward compatible with old alerts (metrics=0, scoring skipped)
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8. ✅ Logs show quality score and reasons for every signal
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---
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**Status:** Ready for production testing
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**Last Updated:** 2024-10-30
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**Author:** Trading Bot v4 Signal Quality System
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