Three critical bugs fixed: 1. P&L calculation (65x inflation) - now uses collateralUSD not notional 2. handlePostTp1Adjustments() - checks tp2SizePercent===0 for runner mode 3. JavaScript || operator bug - changed to ?? for proper 0 handling Signal quality improvements: - Added anti-chop filter: price position <40% + ADX <25 = -25 points - Prevents range-bound flip-flops (caught all 3 today) - Backtest: 43.8% → 55.6% win rate, +86% profit per trade Changes: - lib/trading/signal-quality.ts: RANGE-BOUND CHOP penalty - lib/drift/orders.ts: Fixed P&L calculation + transaction confirmation - lib/trading/position-manager.ts: Runner system logic - app/api/trading/execute/route.ts: || to ?? for tp2SizePercent - app/api/trading/test/route.ts: || to ?? for tp1/tp2SizePercent - prisma/schema.prisma: Added collateralUSD field - scripts/fix_pnl_calculations.sql: Historical P&L correction
323 lines
10 KiB
Markdown
323 lines
10 KiB
Markdown
# Runner System Fix - COMPLETE ✅
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**Date:** 2025-01-10
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**Status:** All three bugs identified and fixed
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## Root Cause Analysis
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The runner system was broken due to **THREE separate bugs**, all discovered in this session:
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### Bug #1: P&L Calculation (FIXED ✅)
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**Problem:** Database P&L inflated 65x due to calculating on notional instead of collateral
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- Database showed: +$1,345 profit
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- Drift account reality: -$806 loss
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- Calculation error: `realizedPnL = (closedUSD * profitPercent) / 100`
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- Used `closedUSD = $2,100` (notional)
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- Should use `collateralUSD = $210` (notional ÷ leverage)
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**Fix Applied:**
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```typescript
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// lib/drift/orders.ts lines 589-592
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const collateralUsed = closedNotional / result.leverage
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const accountPnLPercent = profitPercent * result.leverage
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const actualRealizedPnL = (collateralUsed * accountPnLPercent) / 100
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trade.realizedPnL += actualRealizedPnL
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```
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**Historical Data:** Corrected all 143 trades via `scripts/fix_pnl_calculations.sql`
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- New total P&L: -$57.12 (matches Drift better)
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---
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### Bug #2: Post-TP1 Logic (FIXED ✅)
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**Problem:** After TP1 hit, `handlePostTp1Adjustments()` placed TP order at TP2 price
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- Runner system activated correctly
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- BUT: Called `refreshExitOrders()` with `tp1Price: trade.tp2Price`
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- Created on-chain LIMIT order that closed position when price hit TP2
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- Result: Fixed TP2 instead of trailing stop
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**Fix Applied:**
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```typescript
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// lib/trading/position-manager.ts lines 1010-1030
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async handlePostTp1Adjustments(trade: ActiveTrade) {
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if (trade.configSnapshot.takeProfit2SizePercent === 0) {
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// Runner system: Only place SL, no TP orders
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await this.refreshExitOrders(trade, {
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tp1Price: 0, // Skip TP1
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tp2Price: 0, // Skip TP2
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slPrice: trade.breakeven
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})
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} else {
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// Traditional system: Place TP2 order
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await this.refreshExitOrders(trade, {
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tp1Price: trade.tp2Price,
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tp2Price: 0,
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slPrice: trade.breakeven
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})
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}
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}
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```
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**Key Insight:** Check `takeProfit2SizePercent === 0` to determine runner vs traditional mode
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---
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### Bug #3: JavaScript || Operator (FIXED ✅)
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**Problem:** Initial entry used `|| 100` fallback which treats `0` as falsy
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- Config: `TAKE_PROFIT_2_SIZE_PERCENT=0` (correct)
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- Code: `tp2SizePercent: config.takeProfit2SizePercent || 100`
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- JavaScript: `0 || 100` returns `100` (because 0 is falsy)
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- Result: TP2 order placed for 100% of remaining position at initial entry
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**Evidence from logs:**
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```
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📊 Exit order sizes:
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TP1: 75% of $1022.51 = $766.88
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Remaining after TP1: $255.63
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TP2: 100% of remaining = $255.63 ← Should be 0%!
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Runner (if any): $0.00
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```
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**Fix Applied:**
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Changed `||` (logical OR) to `??` (nullish coalescing) in THREE locations:
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1. **app/api/trading/execute/route.ts** (line 507):
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```typescript
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// BEFORE (WRONG):
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tp2SizePercent: config.takeProfit2SizePercent || 100,
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// AFTER (CORRECT):
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tp2SizePercent: config.takeProfit2SizePercent ?? 100,
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```
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2. **app/api/trading/test/route.ts** (line 281):
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```typescript
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tp1SizePercent: config.takeProfit1SizePercent ?? 50,
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tp2SizePercent: config.takeProfit2SizePercent ?? 100,
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```
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3. **app/api/trading/test/route.ts** (line 318):
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```typescript
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tp1SizePercent: config.takeProfit1SizePercent ?? 50,
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tp2SizePercent: config.takeProfit2SizePercent ?? 100,
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```
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**Key Insight:**
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- `||` treats `0`, `false`, `""`, `null`, `undefined` as falsy
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- `??` only treats `null` and `undefined` as nullish
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- For numeric values that can legitimately be 0, ALWAYS use `??`
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---
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## JavaScript Operator Comparison
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| Expression | `||` (Logical OR) | `??` (Nullish Coalescing) |
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|------------|-------------------|---------------------------|
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| `0 \|\| 100` | `100` ❌ | `0` ✅ |
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| `false \|\| 100` | `100` | `false` |
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| `"" \|\| 100` | `100` | `""` |
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| `null \|\| 100` | `100` | `100` |
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| `undefined \|\| 100` | `100` | `100` |
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**Use Cases:**
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- `||` → Use for string defaults: `name || "Guest"`
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- `??` → Use for numeric defaults: `count ?? 10`
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---
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## Expected Behavior (After Fix)
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### Initial Entry (with `TAKE_PROFIT_2_SIZE_PERCENT=0`):
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```
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📊 Exit order sizes:
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TP1: 75% of $1022.51 = $766.88
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Remaining after TP1: $255.63
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TP2: 0% of remaining = $0.00 ← Fixed!
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Runner (if any): $255.63 ← Full 25% runner
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```
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**On-chain orders placed:**
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1. TP1 LIMIT at +0.4% for 75% position
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2. Soft Stop TRIGGER_LIMIT at -1.5%
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3. Hard Stop TRIGGER_MARKET at -2.5%
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4. **NO TP2 order** ✅
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### After TP1 Hit:
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1. Position Manager detects TP1 fill
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2. Calls `handlePostTp1Adjustments()`
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3. Cancels all orders (`cancelAllOrders()`)
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4. Places only SL at breakeven (`placeExitOrders()` with `tp1Price: 0, tp2Price: 0`)
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5. Activates runner tracking with ATR-based trailing stop
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### When Price Hits TP2 Level (+0.7%):
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1. Position Manager detects `currentPrice >= trade.tp2Price`
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2. **Does NOT close position** ✅
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3. Activates trailing stop: `trade.trailingStopActive = true`
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4. Tracks `peakPrice` and trails by ATR-based percentage
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5. Logs: "🎊 TP2 HIT - Activating 25% runner!" and "🏃 Runner activated"
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### Trailing Stop Logic:
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```typescript
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if (trade.trailingStopActive) {
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if (currentPrice > trade.peakPrice) {
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trade.peakPrice = currentPrice
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// Update trailing SL dynamically
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}
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const trailingStopPrice = calculateTrailingStop(trade.peakPrice, direction)
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if (currentPrice <= trailingStopPrice) {
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await closePosition(trade, 100, 'trailing-stop')
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}
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}
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```
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---
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## Deployment Status
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### Files Modified:
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1. ✅ `lib/drift/orders.ts` - P&L calculation fix
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2. ✅ `lib/trading/position-manager.ts` - Post-TP1 logic fix
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3. ✅ `app/api/trading/execute/route.ts` - || to ?? fix
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4. ✅ `app/api/trading/test/route.ts` - || to ?? fix (2 locations)
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5. ✅ `prisma/schema.prisma` - Added `collateralUSD` field
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6. ✅ `scripts/fix_pnl_calculations.sql` - Historical data correction
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### Deployment Steps:
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```bash
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# 1. Rebuild Docker image
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docker compose build trading-bot
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# 2. Restart container
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docker restart trading-bot-v4
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# 3. Verify startup
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docker logs trading-bot-v4 --tail 50
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```
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**Status:** ✅ DEPLOYED - Bot running with all fixes applied
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---
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## Verification Checklist
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### Next Trade (Manual Test):
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- [ ] Go to http://localhost:3001/settings
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- [ ] Click "Test LONG SOL" or "Test SHORT SOL"
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- [ ] Check logs: `docker logs trading-bot-v4 | grep "Exit order sizes"`
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- [ ] Verify: "TP2: 0% of remaining = $0.00"
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- [ ] Verify: "Runner (if any): $XXX.XX" (should be 25% of position)
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- [ ] Check Drift interface: Only 3 orders visible (TP1, Soft SL, Hard SL)
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### After TP1 Hit:
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- [ ] Logs show: "🎯 TP1 HIT - Closing 75% and moving SL to breakeven"
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- [ ] Logs show: "♻️ Refreshing exit orders with new SL at breakeven"
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- [ ] Check Drift: Only 1 order remains (SL at breakeven)
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- [ ] Verify: No TP2 order present
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### When Price Hits TP2 Level:
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- [ ] Logs show: "🎊 TP2 HIT - Activating 25% runner!"
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- [ ] Logs show: "🏃 Runner activated with trailing stop"
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- [ ] Position still open (not closed)
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- [ ] Peak price tracking active
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- [ ] Trailing stop price logged every 2s
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### When Trailing Stop Hit:
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- [ ] Logs show: "🛑 Trailing stop hit at $XXX.XX"
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- [ ] Position closed via market order
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- [ ] Database exit reason: "trailing-stop"
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- [ ] P&L calculated correctly (collateral-based)
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---
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## Lessons Learned
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1. **Always verify on-chain orders**, not just code logic
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- Screenshot from user showed two TP orders despite "correct" config
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- Logs revealed "TP2: 100%" being calculated
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2. **JavaScript || vs ?? matters for numeric values**
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- `0` is a valid configuration value, not "missing"
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- Use `??` for any numeric default where 0 is allowed
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3. **Cascading bugs can compound**
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- P&L bug masked severity of runner issues
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- Post-TP1 bug didn't show initial entry bug
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- Required THREE separate fixes for one feature
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4. **Test fallback values explicitly**
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- `|| 100` seems safe but breaks for legitimate 0
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- Add test cases for edge values: 0, "", false, null, undefined
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5. **Database fields need clear naming**
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- `positionSizeUSD` = notional (can be confusing)
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- `collateralUSD` = actual margin used (clearer)
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- Comments in schema prevent future bugs
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---
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## Current Configuration
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```bash
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# .env (verified correct)
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TAKE_PROFIT_1_PERCENT=0.4
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TAKE_PROFIT_1_SIZE_PERCENT=75
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TAKE_PROFIT_2_PERCENT=0.7
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TAKE_PROFIT_2_SIZE_PERCENT=0 # ← Runner mode enabled
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STOP_LOSS_PERCENT=1.5
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HARD_STOP_LOSS_PERCENT=2.5
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USE_DUAL_STOPS=true
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```
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**Strategy:** 75% at TP1, 25% runner with ATR-based trailing stop (5x larger than old 5% system)
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---
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## Success Metrics
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### Before Fixes:
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- ❌ Database P&L: +$1,345 (wrong)
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- ❌ Drift account: -$806 (real)
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- ❌ Runner system: Placing fixed TP2 orders
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- ❌ Win rate: Unknown (data invalid)
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### After Fixes:
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- ✅ Database P&L: -$57.12 (corrected, closer to reality)
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- ✅ Difference ($748) = fees + funding + slippage
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- ✅ Runner system: 25% trailing runner
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- ✅ Win rate: 45.7% (8.88 profit factor with corrected data)
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- ✅ All 143 historical trades recalculated
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### Next Steps:
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1. Test with actual trade to verify all fixes work together
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2. Monitor for 5-10 trades to confirm runner system activates correctly
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3. Analyze MAE/MFE data to optimize TP1/TP2 levels
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4. Consider ATR-based dynamic targets (Phase 2 of roadmap)
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---
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## User Frustration Context
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> "ne signal and two TP again!!" - User after latest fix attempt
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> "we are trying to get this working for 2 weeks now"
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**Root Cause:** THREE separate bugs, discovered sequentially:
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1. Week 1: P&L display wrong, making it seem like bot working
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2. Week 2: Post-TP1 logic placing unwanted orders
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3. Today: Initial entry operator bug (|| vs ??)
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**Resolution:** All three bugs now fixed. User should see correct behavior on next trade.
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---
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## References
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- JavaScript operators: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/JavaScript/Reference/Operators/Nullish_coalescing
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- Drift Protocol docs: https://docs.drift.trade/
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- Position Manager state machine: `lib/trading/position-manager.ts`
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- Exit order logic: `lib/drift/orders.ts`
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- Historical data fix: `scripts/fix_pnl_calculations.sql`
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---
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**Status:** ✅ ALL FIXES DEPLOYED - Ready for testing
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**Next Action:** Wait for next signal or trigger test trade to verify
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