docs: Update roadmap with 40 current capital and latest system improvements

Financial Updates:
- Current capital: 7.55 → 40 USDC (with deposits)
- Starting capital: 06 (Nov 11) + 40 deposits
- Phase 1 target: ,500 (4.6x growth from current)
- Monthly return target: 20-30% → 15-20% (more achievable with larger base)
- Risk tolerance: EXTREME → HIGH (increased capital cushion)
- Notional position size: ~,463 → ~,100 (at 15x leverage)

Recent Improvements (Nov 19, 2025):
 v8 Money Line Sticky Trend (0.6% flip threshold, anti-whipsaw)
 ATR-based TP/SL system (adaptive to volatility)
 ADX-based runner positioning (trend-strength adaptive SL)
 Multi-timeframe price tracking (15min/1H/4H/Daily data collection)
 Quality score increased to 81 (filters small chop trades)
 60/40 TP1/Runner split (captures runners on strong trends)
 Automated MFE/MAE analysis (30-minute tracking per signal)

System Status:
- Readiness: READY → PRODUCTION
- Confidence: HIGH → VERY HIGH
- Multi-timeframe: Fully operational, 2 signals tracked
- Background tracker: Runs every 5 minutes autonomously
- Next milestone: ,000 account (1.85x from current)
- Days to first withdrawal: ~60 days (Early January 2026)

Updated both TRADING_GOALS.md and copilot-instructions.md

.github/copilot-instructions.md

@@ -5,14 +5,14 @@
 **Primary Objective:** Build wealth systematically from $106 → $100,000+ through algorithmic trading
 
 **Current Phase:** Phase 1 - Survival & Proof (Nov 2025 - Jan 2026)
-- **Current Capital:** $97.55 USDC (zero debt, 100% health)
-- **Starting Capital:** $106 (Nov 2025)
-- **Target:** $2,500 by end of Phase 1 (Month 2.5)
-- **Strategy:** Aggressive compounding, 0 withdrawals
-- **Position Sizing:** 100% of free collateral (~$97 at 15x leverage = ~$1,463 notional)
-- **Risk Tolerance:** EXTREME - This is recovery/proof-of-concept mode
-- **Win Target:** 20-30% monthly returns to reach $2,500
-- **Trades Executed:** 161 (as of Nov 12, 2025)
+- **Current Capital:** $540 USDC (zero debt, 100% health)
+- **Starting Capital:** $106 (Nov 11, 2025) + $440 deposits
+- **Target:** $2,500 by end of Phase 1 (Month 2.5) - 4.6x growth from current
+- **Strategy:** Aggressive compounding, 0 withdrawals, data-driven optimization
+- **Position Sizing:** 100% of free collateral (~$540 at 15x leverage = ~$8,100 notional)
+- **Risk Tolerance:** HIGH - Proof-of-concept mode with increased capital cushion
+- **Win Target:** 15-20% monthly returns to reach $2,500 (more achievable with larger base)
+- **Trades Executed:** 170+ (as of Nov 19, 2025)
 
 **Why This Matters for AI Agents:**
 - Every dollar counts at this stage - optimize for profitability, not just safety
@@ -504,11 +504,13 @@ After sufficient data collected:
 - **API accessible:** Check status anytime via `/api/analytics/signal-tracking`
 
 **Current Status (Nov 19, 2025):**
-- ✅ System deployed and running
-- ✅ 2 signals tracked (15min and 1H from earlier today)
+- ✅ System deployed and running in production
+- ✅ 2 signals tracked (15min and 1H collecting price data)
 - ✅ TradingView alerts configured for 15min and 1H
-- 📋 Pending: Set up 4H and Daily alerts
-- 📊 Target: Collect 50+ signals per timeframe for statistical analysis
+- ✅ Background tracker runs every 5 minutes autonomously
+- 📋 Next: Set up 4H and Daily alerts
+- 📊 Target: Collect 50+ signals per timeframe for cross-timeframe comparison
+- 🎯 Goal: Determine which timeframe has best win rate, switch production accordingly
 
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TRADING_GOALS.md

@@ -1,8 +1,8 @@
 # Trading Goals & Financial Roadmap
 
-**Bot:** Trading Bot v4 (Drift Protocol + TradingView v6 Signals)  
+**Bot:** Trading Bot v4 (Drift Protocol + TradingView v8 Signals)  
 **Start Date:** November 11, 2025  
-**Starting Capital:** $106 (+ $1,000 deposit in 2 weeks)  
+**Starting Capital:** $106 (Initial) → $540 (Current with deposits)  
 **Primary Objective:** Systematic wealth building through algorithmic trading
 
 ---
@@ -21,15 +21,15 @@
 
 ### **Phase 1: Survival & Proof (Months 0-2.5)**
 **Capital:** $106 → $2,500  
-**Strategy:** YOLO recovery, then aggressive compounding  
+**Strategy:** Aggressive compounding with data-driven optimization  
 **Withdrawals:** $0 (reinvest everything)  
 **Position Sizing:** 100% → 20-25% of account  
 **Leverage:** 20x → 15x  
 
 **Milestones:**
-- ✅ Week 0: $106 starting capital
-- ⏳ Week 2: +$1,000 deposit → $1,100-1,300 base
-- 🎯 Month 2.5: $2,500 account (20x growth on initial, 2x on deposited)
+- ✅ Week 0: $106 starting capital (Nov 11, 2025)
+- ✅ Week 1: +$440 deposits → $540 current capital (Nov 19, 2025)
+- 🎯 Month 2.5: $2,500 account (4.6x growth from current, 23x from initial)
 
 **Success Criteria:**
 - v6 signals prove profitable (60%+ win rate)
@@ -210,21 +210,23 @@
 
 ## 🎯 Current Status
 
-**Date:** November 11, 2025  
+**Date:** November 19, 2025  
 **Phase:** 1 (Survival & Proof)  
-**Account:** $106  
-**Next Milestone:** $1,000 deposit (2 weeks)  
-**Days Until First Withdrawal:** ~75 days (Month 3)
+**Account:** $540 USDC (100% health, zero debt)  
+**Next Milestone:** $1,000 account (1.85x from current)  
+**Days Until First Withdrawal:** ~60 days (Month 3 - Early January 2026)
 
 **Recent Improvements:**
-- ✅ v6 Pine Script deployed (100-bar price position filtering)
-- ✅ ATR-based trailing stop implemented (captures runners properly)
-- ✅ 70/30 TP1/Runner split (increased runner size from 25% to 30%)
-- ✅ Rate limit monitoring (prevents silent failures)
-- ✅ Signal quality scoring (blocks weak setups)
+- ✅ v8 Money Line Sticky Trend deployed (0.6% flip threshold, anti-whipsaw)
+- ✅ ATR-based TP/SL system (adaptive to volatility, regime-agnostic)
+- ✅ ADX-based runner positioning (trend-strength adaptive SL)
+- ✅ Multi-timeframe price tracking (15min/1H/4H/Daily data collection)
+- ✅ Quality score increase to 81 (filters small chop trades)
+- ✅ 60/40 TP1/Runner split (captures runners on strong trends)
+- ✅ Automated MFE/MAE analysis (30-minute tracking per signal)
 
-**System Readiness:** 🟢 READY  
-**Confidence Level:** 🔥 HIGH (infrastructure is solid, just needs signals)
+**System Readiness:** 🟢 PRODUCTION  
+**Confidence Level:** 🔥 VERY HIGH (v8 tested, multi-timeframe data collection active, capital growing)
 
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